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    Segunda Division · kickoff 17:30
    Eibar
    Eibar
    6th in the table
    LDLDW
    We make it
    2-0
    2.3 goals expected
    Cádiz CF
    Cádiz CF
    20th in the table
    LWWLL

    The model's forecast cards

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match result
    Eibar Win@ 1.54
    4/10
    Our three-way read is Eibar 53%, the draw 26%, Cádiz CF 21%, so Eibar are the likeliest single outcome.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 2.12
    5/10
    We make the total 2.3 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 59%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 33%.
    Draw no bet
    Eibar@ 1.18

    Same side as the Eibar win card. Stake back if the match is drawn.

    8/10
    A draw refunds this pick instead of losing it, and we make the draw 26%. That leaves Cádiz CF winning, at 21%, as the only way this loses.

    Top Pick is the model's top pick: the card that stands out most against what its market usually shows in the model's own numbers. It is not a judgement on the price. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    53%
    Eibar
    26%
    Draw
    21%
    Cádiz CF

    The market rates Eibar at 61%, so we are 8 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.3 goalsWe make it 2 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.54
    X4.00
    25.75

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Eibar

    Form comparison

    Cádiz CF

    6.7
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 competitive matches
    4.0
    Form score: Eibar 6.7, Cádiz CF 4.0
    2.10
    Goals scoredper game, last 10 competitive
    1.40
    Goals scored: Eibar 2.10, Cádiz CF 1.40
    1.10
    Goals concededper game, last 10 competitive, lower is better
    1.30
    Goals conceded: Eibar 1.10, Cádiz CF 1.30
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10 competitive
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Eibar mixed, Cádiz CF mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Eibar
    Clean Sheetslast 5 competitive
    Cádiz CF0/5
    1/5Eibar
    Failed to Scorelast 5 competitive
    Cádiz CF1/5
    2.0Eibar
    Goals For per game
    Cádiz CF1.4
    1.2Eibar
    Goals Against per game
    Cádiz CF1.3
    2.3Eibar
    Yellow Cards per game
    Cádiz CF3.1
    1Eibar
    Win Streakmatches
    Cádiz CF0
    Season averages • Eibar: 9 matches • Cádiz CF: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Eibar
    Eibar
    Solid6.7/10
    Form score, last 10 competitive matches
    LDLDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Cádiz CF
    Cádiz CF
    Mixed4.0/10
    Form score, last 10 competitive matches
    LWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 6 meetings
    2W - 1D - 3L from Eibar's perspective
    • 01 Mar 2026Eibar3-1Cadiz
    • 13 Sept 2025Cadiz1-0Eibar
    • 31 Mar 2025Cadiz0-0Eibar
    • 23 Oct 2024Eibar1-0Cadiz
    • 06 Mar 2021Cadiz1-0Eibar
    • 30 Oct 2020Eibar0-2Cadiz
    Eibar
    Eibar
    Last 5 competitive matches
    • 10 Nov 2026vsPamplona0-3W
    • 31 Oct 2026vsAlmeria1-1D
    • 24 Oct 2026vsCordoba2-0L
    • 17 Oct 2026vsMallorca1-1D
    • 12 Oct 2026vsOviedo3-1L
    Cádiz CF
    Cádiz CF
    Last 5 competitive matches
    • 07 Nov 2026vsOviedo1-2L
    • 02 Nov 2026vsMallorca2-1L
    • 29 Oct 2026vsXerez1-3W
    • 25 Oct 2026vsAD Ceuta FC3-1W
    • 18 Oct 2026vsGranada CF2-0L
    PosTeamPts
    ...
    4Burgos24
    5Mallorca23
    6Eibar23
    7Granada23
    8Sporting Gijón23
    ...
    18Real Sociedad B13
    19Andorra11
    20Cádiz CF10
    21Albacete10
    22Ceuta5

    The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.

    Updated daily

    Eibar vs Cádiz CF: form and season numbers

    Eibar take a form score of 6.7 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 4.0 for Cádiz CF. Eibar have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 competitive matches, while Cádiz CF have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Eibar average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Cádiz CF 1.4 and 1.3. Eibar have kept a clean sheet in 22% of their matches this season, Cádiz CF in 10%. In their last 6 meetings Eibar have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3. Eibar sit 6th on 23 points, Cádiz CF 20th on 10.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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