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    Segunda Division · kickoff 19:30
    Upcoming
    Eldense
    Eldense
    19th in the table
    LDWLL
    We make it
    1-1
    2.2 goals expected
    Oviedo
    Oviedo
    8th in the table
    WDWLW

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultTop Pick
    Oviedo or Draw@ 1.44
    7/10
    Oviedo winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 69% between them. Only Eldense winning beats it, at 31%.
    Goals
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.36
    6/10
    We make the total 2.1 goals, so Over 1.5 Goals lands 63%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 36%.
    Both teams to scoreValue
    Yes@ 1.83
    2/10
    We give Eldense 63% to score and Oviedo 68%, so both finding the net comes out at 43%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    31%
    Eldense
    29%
    Draw
    40%
    Oviedo

    The market rates Oviedo at 35%, so we are 5 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.2 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.60
    X3.10
    22.66

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Eldense

    Form comparison

    Oviedo

    2.6
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    6.1
    Form score: Eldense 2.6, Oviedo 6.1
    0.60
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.50
    Goals scored: Eldense 0.60, Oviedo 1.50
    1.50
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: Eldense 1.50, Oviedo 0.80
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Eldense mixed, Oviedo mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Eldense
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Oviedo4/5
    3/5Eldense
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Oviedo1/5
    0.6Eldense
    Goals For per game
    Oviedo1.5
    1.5Eldense
    Goals Against per game
    Oviedo0.8
    1.6Eldense
    Yellow Cards per game
    Oviedo2.7
    0.0Eldense
    Red Cards per game
    Oviedo0.2
    0Eldense
    Win Streakmatches
    Oviedo1
    Season averages • Eldense: 10 matches • Oviedo: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Eldense
    Eldense
    Poor2.6/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Oviedo
    Oviedo
    Solid6.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WDWLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    4/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 3D - 1L from Eldense's perspective
    • 10 Feb 2025Oviedo0-0Eldense
    • 21 Sept 2024Eldense1-1Oviedo
    • 04 Feb 2024Oviedo1-1Eldense
    • 01 Oct 2023Eldense1-3Oviedo
    Eldense
    Eldense
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Sept 2026vsBurgos1-0L
    • 19 Sept 2026vsEibar1-2L
    • 13 Sept 2026vsSporting Gijon0-1W
    • 05 Sept 2026vsMallorca0-0D
    • 29 Aug 2026vsLeganes1-0L
    Oviedo
    Oviedo
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Sept 2026vsSporting Gijon2-0W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsSabadell3-1L
    • 13 Sept 2026vsValladolid0-3W
    • 06 Sept 2026vsBurgos0-0D
    • 29 Aug 2026vsAlbacete0-1W
    PosTeamPts
    6Mallorca13
    7Sabadell12
    8Oviedo11
    9Tenerife11
    10Leganés11
    17Andorra6
    18Córdoba6
    19Eldense5
    20Cádiz CF4
    21Ceuta4
    Updated daily

    Eldense vs Oviedo: form and season numbers

    Eldense take a form score of 2.6 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.1 for Oviedo. Eldense have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Oviedo have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Eldense average 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Oviedo 1.5 and 0.8. Eldense have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Oviedo in 60%. In their last 4 meetings Eldense have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1. Eldense sit 19th on 5 points, Oviedo 8th on 11.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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