The model's forecast cards
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card the previous engine flagged on this match, under that engine's own rule, which has since been replaced. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.
Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
England
Form comparisonArgentina
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 15 Jul 2026England1-2Argentina
- 18 Jul 2026vsFrance4-6W
- 15 Jul 2026vsArgentina1-2L
- 11 Jul 2026vsNorway1-2W
- 06 Jul 2026vsMexico2-3W
- 01 Jul 2026vsCongo DR2-1W
- 19 Jul 2026vsSpain1-0L
- 15 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2W
- 12 Jul 2026vsSwitzerland3-1W
- 07 Jul 2026vsEgypt3-2W
- 03 Jul 2026vsCape Verde Islands3-2W
England vs Argentina: form and season numbers
England take a form score of 7.3 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 6.7 for Argentina. England have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Argentina have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season England average 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Argentina 2.4 and 0.8. England have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Argentina in 40%. In their last 1 meeting England have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
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