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    World Cup · kickoff 21:00
    FT 0-0
    England
    England
    1st in the table
    WWWLW
    final
    0 - 0
    Ghana
    Ghana
    3rd in the table
    DWDLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.25
    8/10
    England massive favourites with 8.22/10 form vs Ghana's 4.22/10. England averaging 2.6 GPG and Ghana only 1.1 GPG. Home odds at 1.25 reflect a clear quality gap in this World Cup opener.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.67
    7/10
    England's 2.6 GPG suggests multiple goals likely. Ghana's defensive struggles (conceding heavily in recent form at 4.22/10) point to a 3+ goal total from England's attack.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.57
    7/10
    Ghana averaging only 1.1 GPG and facing an England side in strong defensive structure. World Cup opener pressure and Ghana's limited attacking threat (4.22/10 form) suggests clean sheet.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    England

    Form comparison

    Ghana

    7.3
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.2
    Form score: England 7.3, Ghana 2.2
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    0.50
    Goals scored: England 2.40, Ghana 0.50
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.60
    Goals conceded: England 1.20, Ghana 1.60

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5England
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Ghana2/5
    0/5England
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Ghana2/5
    2.4England
    Goals For per game
    Ghana0.5
    1.2England
    Goals Against per game
    Ghana1.6
    1England
    Win Streakmatches
    Ghana0
    Season averages • England: 10 matches • Ghana: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    England
    England
    Solid7.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Ghana
    Ghana
    Poor2.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from England's perspective
    • 23 Jun 2026England0-0Ghana
    England
    England
    Last 5 matches
    • 18 Jul 2026vsFrance4-6W
    • 15 Jul 2026vsArgentina1-2L
    • 11 Jul 2026vsNorway1-2W
    • 06 Jul 2026vsMexico2-3W
    • 01 Jul 2026vsCongo DR2-1W
    Ghana
    Ghana
    Last 5 matches
    • 04 Jul 2026vsColombia1-0L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsCroatia2-1L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsEngland0-0D
    • 17 Jun 2026vsPanama1-0W
    • 02 Jun 2026vsWales1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1England7
    2Croatia6
    3Ghana4
    4Panama0
    Updated daily

    England vs Ghana: form and season numbers

    England take a form score of 7.3 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.2 for Ghana. England have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Ghana have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season England average 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Ghana 0.5 and 1.6. England have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Ghana in 20%. In their last 1 meeting England have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. England sit 1st on 7 points, Ghana 3rd on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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