Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Excelsior
Form comparisonAZ Alkmaar
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Excelsior mixed, AZ Alkmaar mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 14 Feb 2026Excelsior1-2AZ Alkmaar
- 21 Jan 2026AZ Alkmaar1-1Excelsior
- 13 Jul 2024AZ Alkmaar8-0Excelsior
- 10 Mar 2024AZ Alkmaar4-0Excelsior
- 04 Nov 2023Excelsior1-1AZ Alkmaar
- 16 Oct 2026vsHeerenveen4-0L
- 11 Oct 2026vsGroningen1-5L
- 19 Sept 2026vsAjax2-2D
- 13 Sept 2026vsUtrecht1-2L
- 08 Sept 2026vsNEC Nijmegen2-2D
- 18 Oct 2026vsCambuur2-2D
- 15 Oct 2026vsHapoel Beer Sheva2-1W
- 10 Oct 2026vsFeyenoord2-0L
- 20 Sept 2026vsTelstar1-0W
- 16 Sept 2026vsSunderland1-0L
Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: form and season numbers
Excelsior take a form score of 3.9 out of 10 into this Eredivisie fixture, against 6.2 for AZ Alkmaar. Excelsior have 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5, while AZ Alkmaar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Excelsior average 2.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, AZ Alkmaar 2.0 and 1.2. Excelsior have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, AZ Alkmaar in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Excelsior have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. Excelsior sit 10th on 11 points, AZ Alkmaar 2nd on 20.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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