

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Ferencvarosi TC take a form score of 6.9 out of 10 into this Europa League fixture, against 5.2 for Plzen. Ferencvarosi TC have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, while Plzen have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Ferencvarosi TC average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Plzen 2.2 and 2.2. Ferencvarosi TC have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Plzen in 10%. In their last 5 meetings Ferencvarosi TC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2. Ferencvarosi TC sit 11th on 0 points, Plzen 36th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Ferencvarosi TC arrive in commanding rhythm, having won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 across all competitions. That sequence has delivered 9 goals scored and just 2 conceded, with clean sheets in 3 of those 5 outings. The hosts have scored in every match during that stretch and maintain a 50 percent clean sheet rate across their 7-match season sample. A 4-0 Europa League victory over Trabzonspor on 27 August stands out, following a 1-0 away win over the same opposition a week earlier. Strong form weighted at 6.9 out of 10 provides genuine momentum.
Plzen present a contrasting profile. Their last 5 fixtures have yielded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 but conceding 12. Crucially, they have failed to keep a single clean sheet across that run. A 5-1 home thrashing of FK Crvena Zvezda on 27 August was immediately preceded by a 0-3 defeat away to the same side on 20 August. The chaotic 5-5 draw at Teplice on 8 August and the 3-2 home victory over Zlin on 15 August further illustrate a side that scores freely but leaks goals at will. Form weighted at 5.2 out of 10 reflects steady output without defensive solidity, and the gap of 1.7 between the sides is meaningful.
The head to head record across the last 5 meetings shows Plzen with 2 wins to Ferencvarosi TC's 1, plus 2 draws. The most recent encounter on 25 September 2025 finished 1-1. Before that, Plzen won 3-0 on 20 February 2025, sandwiched around a 1-0 Ferencvarosi TC win on 13 February 2025. An earlier 1-3 defeat for the hosts on 25 January 2024 and a 0-0 draw on 16 January 2023 complete the sample. The series has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting, with both teams scoring in 2 of the 5 and over 2.5 goals landing in 2 of 5. That modest goals profile sits oddly against Plzen's recent habit of conceding in every outing.
Ferencvarosi TC's season profile shows 6 shots on target per game and 4.4 corners from a 7-match sample, alongside 54.8 percent possession. They have failed to score in just 10 percent of matches this season, reinforcing the scoring consistency visible in their recent results. Plzen's inability to shut opponents out, combined with the hosts' clean sheet rate and superior form weighting, points toward a match in which Ferencvarosi TC control territory and chances. The head to head trends suggest tight margins, but current form divergence is the sharper signal. Ferencvarosi TC's defensive organisation against Plzen's open games makes the home win the logical line, with goals at both ends less certain than the visitors' recent record implies.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram