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    World Cup · kickoff 22:00
    FT 3-0
    France
    France
    1st in the table
    WWWLL
    final
    3 - 0
    Iraq
    Iraq
    4th in the table
    DLLLL
    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.09
    9/10
    France are overwhelming favourites at 1.09 with elite form (8/10) and 2.6 GPG in World Cup qualifying. Iraq's 4.22/10 form and 1.1 GPG show a significant gulf in quality for this group stage opener.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.36
    8/10
    France average 2.6 GPG and typically dominate weaker opposition with 3+ goal margins. Iraq's defensive vulnerabilities (1.1 GPG suggests limited defensive solidity) point to a comfortable France victory with multiple goals.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.43
    8/10
    Iraq's attacking output is weak at 1.1 GPG and facing France's tournament-focused defence in a World Cup opener. France have the quality to keep a clean sheet against this level of opposition.

    France

    Form comparison

    Iraq

    4.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    0.2
    Form score: France 4.0, Iraq 0.2
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game
    0.70
    Goals scored: France 2.40, Iraq 0.70
    1.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.90
    Goals conceded: France 1.30, Iraq 1.90

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5France
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Iraq0/5
    1/5France
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Iraq3/5
    2.4France
    Goals For per game
    Iraq0.7
    1.3France
    Goals Against per game
    Iraq1.9
    0France
    Win Streakmatches
    Iraq0
    Season averages • France: 10 matches • Iraq: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    France
    France
    Mixed4.0/10
    WWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Iraq
    Iraq
    Poor0.2/10
    DLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from France's perspective
    • 22 Jun 2026France3-0Iraq
    France
    France
    Last 5 matches
    • 18 Jul 2026vsEngland4-6L
    • 14 Jul 2026vsSpain0-2L
    • 09 Jul 2026vsMorocco2-0W
    • 04 Jul 2026vsParaguay0-1W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsSweden3-0W
    Iraq
    Iraq
    Last 5 matches
    • 26 Jun 2026vsSenegal5-0L
    • 22 Jun 2026vsFrance3-0L
    • 16 Jun 2026vsNorway1-4L
    • 10 Jun 2026vsVenezuela0-2L
    • 04 Jun 2026vsSpain1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1France9
    2Norway6
    3Senegal3
    4Iraq0
    Updated daily

    France vs Iraq: form and season numbers

    France take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 0.2 for Iraq. France have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Iraq have 1 draw and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season France average 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Iraq 0.7 and 1.9. France have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Iraq in 20%. In their last 1 meeting France have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. France sit 1st on 9 points, Iraq 4th on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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