France

0 : 2

Spain

France arrive at 10/10 tournament form with the stronger attacking output (2.5 goals a game to Spain's 1.8). On neutral ground the model backs France's defensive solidity to contain Spain's lower scoring rate, which makes 2.38 a value price against the form-table leaders.

France averaging 2.5 GPG and Spain 1.8 GPG suggests 3+ total goals. World Cup knockout clashes between elite nations historically exceed 2.5 when both teams are in peak form (10/10).

Spain's 1.8 GPG indicates they consistently find the net even against top opposition. France's attacking focus (2.5 GPG) can leave gaps for Spain's technical players to exploit.