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    World Cup · kickoff 18:00
    FT 7-1
    Germany
    Germany
    1st in the table
    WWWLD
    final
    7 - 1
    Curaçao
    Curaçao
    4th in the table
    LWLDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.04
    8/10
    Germany are overwhelming favourites at home against a CONCACAF minnow. Curaçao qualified through a weak path and lack the quality to resist a German side expected to dominate possession and territory completely.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.18
    8/10
    Despite MD1 Under prior, this is an extreme mismatch. Germany's attacking firepower against Curaçao's weak defense makes 3+ goals highly likely.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.36
    8/10
    Curaçao lacks quality to trouble Germany's defense. Clean sheet is the most likely outcome in this lopsided fixture.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 4 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Germany

    Form comparison

    Curaçao

    5.1
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.2
    Form score: Germany 5.1, Curaçao 2.2
    3.10
    Goals scoredper game
    1.50
    Goals scored: Germany 3.10, Curaçao 1.50
    1.00
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    2.10
    Goals conceded: Germany 1.00, Curaçao 2.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Germany
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Curaçao2/5
    0/5Germany
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Curaçao2/5
    3.1Germany
    Goals For per game
    Curaçao1.5
    1.0Germany
    Goals Against per game
    Curaçao2.1
    0Germany
    Win Streakmatches
    Curaçao0
    Season averages • Germany: 10 matches • Curaçao: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Germany
    Germany
    Solid5.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Curaçao
    Curaçao
    Poor2.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWLDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Germany's perspective
    • 14 Jun 2026Germany7-1Curaçao
    Germany
    Germany
    Last 5 matches
    • 29 Jun 2026vsParaguay1-1D
    • 25 Jun 2026vsEcuador2-1L
    • 20 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast2-1W
    • 14 Jun 2026vsCuraçao7-1W
    • 06 Jun 2026vsUSA1-2W
    Curaçao
    Curaçao
    Last 5 matches
    • 25 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast0-2L
    • 21 Jun 2026vsEcuador0-0D
    • 14 Jun 2026vsGermany7-1L
    • 07 Jun 2026vsAruba4-0W
    • 30 May 2026vsScotland4-1L
    PosTeamPts
    1Germany6
    2Ivory Coast6
    3Ecuador4
    4Curaçao1
    Updated daily

    Germany vs Curaçao: form and season numbers

    Germany take a form score of 5.1 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.2 for Curaçao. Germany have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Curaçao have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Germany average 3.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Curaçao 1.5 and 2.1. Germany have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Curaçao in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Germany have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Germany sit 1st on 6 points, Curaçao 4th on 1.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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