Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Getafe mixed, Atlético Madrid mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Getafe take a form score of 3.3 out of 10 into this La Liga fixture, against 6.6 for Atlético Madrid. Getafe have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5 competitive matches, while Atlético Madrid have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Getafe average 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, Atlético Madrid 1.6 and 0.7. Getafe have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Atlético Madrid in 50%. In their last 10 meetings Getafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7. Getafe sit 15th on 12 points, Atlético Madrid 3rd on 28.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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