

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Girona mixed, Andorra weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Girona take a form score of 3.9 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 5.6 for Andorra. Girona have 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Andorra have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Girona average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Andorra 1.7 and 1.2. Girona have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Andorra in 50%. In their last 2 meetings Girona have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0. Girona sit 17th on 1 point, Andorra 8th on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Andorra arrive at this Segunda División encounter sitting 1st in the table with a perfect record, 7 places and 2 points above Girona in 8th. The visitors opened their league campaign with a commanding 5-1 demolition of AD Ceuta FC at home, a performance that underlined their attacking intent and cemented their place at the summit. Girona, by contrast, managed only a 1-1 draw at home to Leganes in their solitary competitive outing so far, leaving them with 1 point from 1 match and plenty of ground to make up if they harbour promotion ambitions.
The hosts carry a patchy recent form score of 4.3 out of 10, though their pre-season schedule offered some encouragement in the goals column. Across their last 5 fixtures, Girona have drawn 4 and lost 1, scoring 8 and conceding 11. They have found the net in all 5 of those matches but kept 0 clean sheets, a defensive fragility laid bare during a 1-4 reverse at home to Arsenal in a club friendly. Their season profile reflects an attack-minded side averaging 22.8 shots and 7.2 shots on target per game across a 4-match sample, with 59.5 percent possession and 1.62 expected goals per outing. Yet they have failed to score in 20 percent of their games and managed 0 clean sheets, suggesting the balance between ambition and solidity remains unresolved.
Andorra's steady form rating of 5.8 out of 10 represents a 1.5-point advantage over their hosts, and their record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from the last 5 tells a story of growing resilience. They have scored in only 2 of those 5 but kept 3 clean sheets, the most recent a 1-0 win away to Zaragoza. Their opening league fixture saw that defensive discipline combine with a sudden attacking surge, 5 goals against Ceuta delivering a goal difference of plus 4 that currently tops the division. The sample is small, but Andorra average 5.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game in competitive action so far this season.
The head to head record across the last 2 meetings favours Girona with 1 win and 1 draw, though both encounters were pre-season friendlies played in the summers of 2022 and 2023. Girona won 2-0 on 27 July 2022 before the sides drew 2-2 on 22 July 2023. Those 2 matches averaged 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of 2 and over 2.5 goals landing in 1 of 2. Neither fixture offers much predictive weight given their friendly status, and the competitive context here is entirely different.
The form gap, the table gap and the quality of Andorra's league opener all point toward a stern test for Girona, who have yet to demonstrate they can shut out opponents. Andorra's ability to alternate between defensive discipline and ruthless finishing may prove decisive, particularly if the hosts' porous back line allows the kind of space that Ceuta conceded. The value appears to sit with the visitors, who have shown they can win cleanly or win big depending on what the game demands.
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