

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Girona mixed, Mallorca mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Girona take a form score of 5.6 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.7 for Mallorca. Girona have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Mallorca have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Girona average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Mallorca 1.6 and 0.6. Girona have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Mallorca in 60%. In their last 10 meetings Girona have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5. Girona sit 5th on 13 points, Mallorca 6th on 13.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Two points separate nothing and one league place separates everything at this end of the Segunda Division table, with Girona 5th on 13 points and Mallorca 6th on 13 points, both sides carrying identical W4 D1 L2 records from 7 games. The gap that matters is defensive: Girona have shipped 8 goals at 1.14 conceded per game against Mallorca's 3 conceded at 0.43 per game, even though Girona's +6 goal difference edges Mallorca's +5. That contrast, goals at both ends versus goals kept out, is the story of this fixture before a ball is kicked.
Girona's last 10 in competitive and friendly football reads W4 D3 L3 with 18 scored and 15 conceded, and they have scored in every one of those 10 matches. The competitive form is genuinely useful: a 2-0 home win over Albacete on 25 September and a 2-1 away win at Cadiz on 19 September sit either side of a 1-2 home defeat to Castellon on 12 September, the division's early pace-setters on 19 points. A 5-2 home win over Las Palmas on 29 August shows the attacking upside, but a 1-2 away loss at Cordoba on 21 August and a 1-4 friendly defeat to Arsenal expose how often they concede when the game opens up. A clean sheet in just 2 of those 10 matches tells its own story.
Mallorca's numbers point the other way. Their last 10 shows W6 D2 L2 with 16 scored and only 6 conceded, and a clean sheet in 6 of those 10 games, a defensive record that dwarfs Girona's across the same sample. The competitive run backs it up: a 1-0 away win at Real Sociedad II on 19 September and a 2-0 home win over Sabadell on 13 September came either side of a 0-0 draw away at Eldense on 5 September, while a 3-0 home win over AD Ceuta FC on 30 August and a 2-0 home win over Valladolid on 15 August round out a run built on keeping things tight. The one blemish is recent: a 0-1 home defeat to Almeria on 27 September, and a 0-2 away loss at Granada CF on 24 August, both reminders that when Mallorca do lose, they fail to score, something that happens in 30 percent of their season sample compared with 0 percent for Girona.
The head to head record leans slightly towards the visitors: from the 5 itemised meetings, Mallorca have won 3, Girona have won 2, with the most recent, on 1 May 2026, a 0-1 win for Mallorca in Girona. Across the last 10 meetings overall, Mallorca have won 5, Girona 4, with 1 draw, and those games have produced 2.8 goals per meeting with both teams scoring in 6 of 10. Girona's home scoring record this season is total, but Mallorca's defensive discipline, built on clean sheets in 6 of their last 10 and only 3 goals conceded across their 7 league matches, makes them a live threat away from home rather than a straightforward underdog. Expect Girona to find the net again given they have scored in all 10 of their last 10, but Mallorca's shape suggests they will make Girona work for every chance and have a real say in whether both teams score again.
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