What we would back
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.
The market rates Grêmio at 32%, so we are 7 points higher than the price implies.
Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Grêmio
Form comparisonInternacional
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Grêmio weak, Internacional mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 03 Sept 2026Gremio3-1Internacional
- 27 Aug 2026Internacional0-0Gremio
- 11 Apr 2026Internacional0-0Gremio
- 08 Mar 2026Internacional1-1Gremio
- 01 Mar 2026Gremio3-0Internacional
- 07 Oct 2026vsRemo1-1D
- 20 Sept 2026vsPalmeiras0-0D
- 16 Sept 2026vsBotafogo3-2L
- 12 Sept 2026vsVasco DA Gama1-2L
- 07 Sept 2026vsVitoria1-0L
- 07 Oct 2026vsCorinthians2-1W
- 20 Sept 2026vsSao Paulo1-0L
- 12 Sept 2026vsChapecoense-sc1-2W
- 06 Sept 2026vsSantos2-3L
- 03 Sept 2026vsGremio3-1L
Grêmio vs Internacional: form and season numbers
Grêmio take a form score of 2.9 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 3.3 for Internacional. Grêmio have 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Internacional have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Grêmio average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Internacional 1.0 and 1.3. Grêmio have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Internacional in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Grêmio have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2. Grêmio sit 18th on 30 points, Internacional 17th on 31.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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