Hapoel Beer Sheva welcome Dinamo Zagreb to a Europa League fixture that pitches contrasting recent trajectories against one another. The hosts carry a patchy form rating of 4.5 out of 10 into this encounter, having taken 3 wins from their last 5 but shipping 11 goals across that span. The visitors arrive with a strong 7.8 rating, creating a form gap of 3.3 in their favour that frames the contest immediately.

Beer Sheva's recent sequence shows volatility in both attack and result. They defeated FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 in Champions League qualifying before following up with a 2-1 home win against Sabah FA, only to concede 5 in the return leg and suffer a 4-0 defeat at Hapoel Haifa in domestic cup action. Their latest outing brought a 2-1 win at Hapoel Ramat Gan in Ligat Ha'al. Over those 5 matches they have scored 8 and conceded 11, managing just 1 clean sheet while finding the net in 4 of 5. Their 3-match season profile shows 6 shots on target per game, 3 corners and 69.7 percent possession, alongside a disciplinary average of 3.3 yellow cards. They have kept clean sheets in 30 percent of their fixtures this term and failed to score in 10 percent.

Dinamo have taken 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 8. A 4-0 home victory over Rudes preceded a 2-2 home draw with Viking in Champions League qualifying, then a 3-1 home win against NK Varazdin in HNL play. They lost the return leg 1-3 at Viking before drawing 2-2 away to Istra 1961 most recently. They have scored in all 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Their 8-match season sample reveals an attacking profile averaging 24.1 shots, 6.6 on target, 8.1 corners and 2.69 expected goals per game, combined with 61.9 percent possession. They have yet to be shut out this season and have recorded clean sheets in 33 percent of outings.

The head to head record consists of two meetings in July 2018, both in European competition. Dinamo prevailed 5-0 at home before the return fixture finished 2-2, giving them 1 win and 1 draw from the pair. The aggregate produced 4.5 goals per meeting, with both teams scoring in 1 of 2 and over 2.5 goals landing in both. That earlier pattern of high-scoring fixtures aligns with Beer Sheva's porous defensive record over the last 5, where they have conceded more than twice per game, and Dinamo's consistent scoring run.

The numbers point toward a visitors' edge built on superior form, greater attacking output and a more stable defensive base. Dinamo's 24.1 shots per game against Beer Sheva's tendency to concede in volume suggests scope for the away side to control proceedings. Beer Sheva's 69.7 percent possession figure offers a counter-argument, but their conversion of territory into goals has been inconsistent and their clean sheet rate of 30 percent trails Dinamo's 33 percent despite the visitors playing a harder schedule. The 3.3-point form gap and the head to head precedent both favour the same outcome, and the question becomes whether Beer Sheva's home platform and possession strength can narrow that margin or whether Dinamo's shot volume and scoring consistency will decide the evening.