

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Hull City take a form score of 6.6 out of 10 into this Premier League fixture, against 8.2 for Brentford. Hull City have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Brentford have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Hull City average 1.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, Brentford 2.7 and 1.1. Hull City have kept a clean sheet in 56% of their matches this season, Brentford in 40%. In their last 8 meetings Hull City have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2. Hull City sit 5th on 3 points, Brentford 3rd on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Brentford arrive at this Premier League encounter with a form rating of 8.2 out of 10, classified as excellent and a full 1.6 points higher than Hull City's strong but more modest 6.6. That gap is immediately visible in the recent results: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 21 goals and conceding just 4, while Hull have managed 1 win alongside 3 draws and a defeat, both scoring and conceding 4 across the same span. Brentford demolished Birmingham 6-1 in the League Cup on 25 August and opened their league campaign with a 3-0 home win over Tottenham on 22 August, maintaining a scoring streak across all 5 of their last fixtures. Hull began with a 2-0 home victory over Manchester United on 22 August before settling for a 1-1 draw away to Stoke City in the cup three days later.
The league table shows both sides on 3 points from 1 match, with Brentford sitting 3rd on goal difference of +3 and Hull 5th with +2. Hull have conceded nothing in their single league outing so far, banking a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 overall, while Brentford have kept the defensive door shut in 2 of 5 as well despite the volume of goals at the other end. The season profile reveals Brentford average 1.76 expected goals per game from an 8-match sample, edging Hull's 1.36 from 4 matches, and the visitors dominate possession at 50 percent compared to Hull's 37.2. Hull have recorded clean sheets in 56 percent of their games this season, the highest rate between the two, and have failed to score in 22 percent, fractionally worse than Brentford's 20 percent blank rate.
The head to head record across the last 8 meetings favours Hull by 4 wins to 2, with 2 draws, but the most recent itemised results tell a different story. On 1 February 2020, Brentford won 5-1 at Hull, and on 23 February 2019 they repeated the scoreline at home, 5-1 again. Hull took a 2-0 home win on 15 December 2018, and the two sides drew 1-1 both on 17 August 2019 and 6 May 2018. Across those 8 fixtures, 3.38 goals per meeting is the average, with both teams scoring in 5 of 8 and over 2.5 goals landing in 3 of 8. The pattern suggests that when Brentford have clicked in this matchup, they have clicked emphatically, while Hull have shown they can keep things tight or break through at home.
Brentford's 21 goals in 5 matches, even accounting for the lower weight of pre-season fixtures, signals an attacking threat Hull have not yet faced in competitive action this term. Hull conceded twice away to Eintracht Frankfurt in a friendly on 8 August, the same opposition Brentford thrashed 7-0 at home a week later, offering a stark comparison of firepower. The visitors' 1.76 expected goals per game and 13.9 shots per match underpin their confidence, while Hull's 4.8 shots on target per game from a smaller sample suggests efficiency when opportunities arrive. With both sides unbeaten in the league and separated by only 2 places and 0 points, the form trajectory and the goal output point toward Brentford carrying the sharper edge into this fixture, and Hull will need to reproduce the defensive solidity of their opening-day clean sheet to contain it.
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