Inter Miami welcome DC United on Sunday with a 15-point cushion and a seven-place advantage in the table. The hosts sit second on 38 points after 18 matches, recording 11 wins and just 2 defeats. DC United arrive ninth on 23 points, their 5 wins and 8 draws leaving them 3 goals the wrong side of level for the season. The gulf in the standings is clear, though form readings suggest the gap may not stretch quite as wide on the night.

Inter Miami's weighted five-match score of 6.7 out of 10 reflects strong but not dominant recent returns. They have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 across their last five, scoring 11 and conceding 8. That run includes a 4-2 home win over Atletico San Luis in the Leagues Cup and a 3-2 victory against Chicago Fire in MLS, but also a 1-2 home defeat to Monterrey and a 2-2 draw with Columbus Crew. They have found the net in all 5 of those outings but managed just 1 clean sheet. Over a 9-match sample across all competitions, they average 2.73 expected goals per game, 16.4 shots and 6.7 on target, with 53.8 percent possession. They have scored in every single fixture in that window and kept a clean sheet in 20 percent.

DC United carry a steadier 5.7 out of 10 form score, built on 1 win and 3 draws from their last 4 matches. They have scored 9 and conceded 8 in that stretch, finding the net in all 4 but never shutting the opposition out. A 2-1 home win over Toronto preceded consecutive 2-2 and 1-1 draws against Nashville and Houston, and a wild 4-4 home meeting with CF Montreal. Their 9-match season profile shows 14.9 shots per game, 6.4 on target, and 1.65 expected goals, with possession sitting at 37.8 percent. They have avoided a blank in every match sampled but registered a clean sheet in only 11 percent.

The head to head record over the last 10 meetings tilts firmly toward Inter Miami, who have won 5 to DC United's 2, with 3 draws. The fixtures average 3.2 goals, both teams have scored in 8 of 10, and 7 have topped 2.5 goals. The five most recent clashes all went Inter Miami's way or ended level: a 2-1 away win in March 2026, a 3-2 home victory in September 2025, a 1-1 draw in August 2025, and two more Inter Miami wins in 2024 by 1-0 and 3-1 scorelines. DC United have not beaten the hosts in any of those itemised meetings.

Inter Miami average 2.50 goals per league match and concede 1.78, while DC United score 1.44 and ship 1.61. The attacking numbers and the head to head pattern both point to goals, with the visitors capable of troubling a defence that has conceded in 4 of their last 5. The table gap and home advantage favour Inter Miami, but DC United's unbeaten four-match run and perfect scoring record in that window mean the outcome is unlikely to arrive without a fight.