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    MLS · kickoff 00:30
    FT 4-0
    Inter Miami
    Inter Miami
    2nd in the table
    DWDLW
    final
    4 - 0
    DC United
    DC United
    12th in the table
    DLDLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Inter Miami Win@ 1.42
    Safer: Inter Miami or draw at 1.12
    6/10
    Our three-way read is Inter Miami 61%, the draw 19%, DC United 20%, so Inter Miami are the likeliest single outcome.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.27
    7/10
    We make the total 3.6 goals, so Over 2.5 Goals lands 69%. The next line up, Over 3.5, is 48%.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 1.40
    6/10
    We give Inter Miami 90% to score and DC United 72%, so both finding the net comes out at 65%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    61%
    Inter Miami
    19%
    Draw
    20%
    DC United

    The market rates Inter Miami at 66%, so we are 5 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 3.6 goalsWe make it 3 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.42
    X5.25
    26.00

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Inter Miami

    Form comparison

    DC United

    5.8
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    3.0
    Form score: Inter Miami 5.8, DC United 3.0
    2.40
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    0.80
    Goals scored: Inter Miami 2.40, DC United 0.80
    1.40
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.80
    Goals conceded: Inter Miami 1.40, DC United 1.80
    weak
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Inter Miami weak, DC United mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Inter Miami
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    DC United1/5
    0/5Inter Miami
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    DC United3/5
    2.4Inter Miami
    Goals For per game
    DC United0.8
    1.4Inter Miami
    Goals Against per game
    DC United1.8
    2.7Inter Miami
    Yellow Cards per game
    DC United1.9
    0.3Inter Miami
    Red Cards per game
    DC United0.0
    1Inter Miami
    Win Streakmatches
    DC United0
    Season averages • Inter Miami: 10 matches • DC United: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Inter Miami
    Inter Miami
    Solid5.8/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWDLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    DC United
    DC United
    Mixed3.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DLDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Last 5 meetings
    6W - 3D - 1L from Inter Miami's perspective
    • 10 Oct 2026Inter Miami4-0DC United
    • 07 Mar 2026DC United1-2Inter Miami
    • 20 Sept 2025Inter Miami3-2DC United
    • 23 Aug 2025DC United1-1Inter Miami
    • 18 May 2024Inter Miami1-0DC United
    Inter Miami
    Inter Miami
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsDC United4-0W
    • 27 Sept 2026vsColumbus Crew2-1L
    • 20 Sept 2026vsSan Diego2-2D
    • 17 Sept 2026vsCruz Azul2-0W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsNashville SC2-2D
    DC United
    DC United
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsInter Miami4-0L
    • 30 Sept 2026vsSC Paderborn 070-1L
    • 27 Sept 2026vsVancouver Whitecaps3-3D
    • 19 Sept 2026vsCharlotte1-2L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsAtlanta United FC0-0D
    PosTeamPts
    15Sporting Kansas City22
    1Nashville SC63
    2Inter Miami49
    3Chicago Fire FC48
    4New England Revolution46
    10NYCFC33
    11Toronto FC32
    12DC United30
    13Columbus Crew29
    14Atlanta United27
    Updated daily

    Inter Miami vs DC United: form and season numbers

    Inter Miami take a form score of 5.8 out of 10 into this MLS fixture, against 3.0 for DC United. Inter Miami have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while DC United have 2 draws and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Inter Miami average 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, DC United 0.8 and 1.8. Inter Miami have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, DC United in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Inter Miami have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1. Inter Miami sit 2nd on 49 points, DC United 12th on 30.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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