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    World Cup · kickoff 02:00
    FT 2-2
    Iran
    Iran
    3rd in the table
    WDDD
    final
    2 - 2
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    4th in the table
    LLDLL
    We make it 1 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    DC Iran/Draw@ 1.19
    7/10
    Iran qualified comfortably from Asia and play compact defensive football at home. New Zealand scraped through Oceania qualifiers. MD1 caution favors the DC hedge over straight home win at 1.89.
    GoalsLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.60
    7/10
    MD1 historical prior (59% Under), Iran's defensive solidity, and New Zealand's limited attacking quality all point to a low-scoring opener. 1-0 or 2-0 range.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.71
    7/10
    New Zealand managed only 8 goals across 10 OFC qualifiers. Iran's defense is organized. Clean sheet for Iran highly probable in cautious opener.

    Iran

    Form comparison

    New Zealand

    4.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    0.7
    Form score: Iran 4.0, New Zealand 0.7
    1.56
    Goals scoredper game
    1.00
    Goals scored: Iran 1.56, New Zealand 1.00
    0.67
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    2.30
    Goals conceded: Iran 0.67, New Zealand 2.30

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Iran
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    New Zealand0/5
    1/5Iran
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    New Zealand2/5
    1.6Iran
    Goals For per game
    New Zealand1.0
    0.7Iran
    Goals Against per game
    New Zealand2.3
    0Iran
    Win Streakmatches
    New Zealand0
    Season averages • Iran: 9 matches • New Zealand: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Iran
    Iran
    Mixed4.0/10
    WDDD
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/4
    BTTS
    2/4
    Clean sheet
    2/4
    Scored in
    3/4
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Poor0.7/10
    LLDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Iran's perspective
    • 16 Jun 2026Iran2-2New Zealand
    Iran
    Iran
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsEgypt1-1D
    • 21 Jun 2026vsBelgium0-0D
    • 16 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand2-2D
    • 04 Jun 2026vsMali2-0W
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsBelgium1-5L
    • 22 Jun 2026vsEgypt1-3L
    • 16 Jun 2026vsIran2-2D
    • 06 Jun 2026vsEngland1-0L
    • 03 Jun 2026vsHaiti4-0L
    PosTeamPts
    1Belgium5
    2Egypt5
    3Iran3
    4New Zealand1
    Updated daily

    Iran vs New Zealand: form and season numbers

    Iran take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 0.7 for New Zealand. Iran have 1 win and 3 draws in their last 4, while New Zealand have 1 draw and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Iran average 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, New Zealand 1.0 and 2.3. Iran have kept a clean sheet in 56% of their matches this season, New Zealand in 0%. In their last 1 meeting Iran have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Iran sit 3rd on 3 points, New Zealand 4th on 1.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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