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    World Cup · kickoff 23:00
    FT 1-4
    Iraq
    Iraq
    4th in the table
    DLLLL
    final
    1 - 4
    Norway
    Norway
    2nd in the table
    WLWWL
    We make it 0 - 3

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Away Win@ 1.20
    9/10
    Norway massively superior in every metric: 3.1 GPG away vs Iraq's 1.1 GPG home, form advantage 5.11 vs 4.22. Iraq's 13.0 home odds reflect tournament minnow status against elite European side.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.57
    8/10
    Norway's 3.1 GPG away suggests multi-goal win. Iraq averaging 1.1 GPG home but likely overwhelmed here, predicted 3-goal total aligns with Norway's offensive output.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.58
    7/10
    Iraq's weak 4.22 form and 1.1 GPG home make them unlikely to score against Norway's defensive structure. Clean sheet outcome fits 0-3 prediction.

    Iraq

    Form comparison

    Norway

    0.2
    Form scoreout of 10
    5.3
    Form score: Iraq 0.2, Norway 5.3
    0.70
    Goals scoredper game
    1.80
    Goals scored: Iraq 0.70, Norway 1.80
    1.90
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.50
    Goals conceded: Iraq 1.90, Norway 1.50

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Iraq
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Norway0/5
    3/5Iraq
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Norway0/5
    0.7Iraq
    Goals For per game
    Norway1.8
    1.9Iraq
    Goals Against per game
    Norway1.5
    0Iraq
    Win Streakmatches
    Norway0
    Season averages • Iraq: 10 matches • Norway: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Iraq
    Iraq
    Poor0.2/10
    DLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Norway
    Norway
    Solid5.3/10
    WLWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Iraq's perspective
    • 16 Jun 2026Iraq1-4Norway
    Iraq
    Iraq
    Last 5 matches
    • 26 Jun 2026vsSenegal5-0L
    • 22 Jun 2026vsFrance3-0L
    • 16 Jun 2026vsNorway1-4L
    • 10 Jun 2026vsVenezuela0-2L
    • 04 Jun 2026vsSpain1-1D
    Norway
    Norway
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2L
    • 05 Jul 2026vsBrazil1-2W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast1-2W
    • 26 Jun 2026vsFrance1-4L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsSenegal3-2W
    PosTeamPts
    1France9
    2Norway6
    3Senegal3
    4Iraq0
    Updated daily

    Iraq vs Norway: form and season numbers

    Iraq take a form score of 0.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 5.3 for Norway. Iraq have 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Norway have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Iraq average 0.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, Norway 1.8 and 1.5. Iraq have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Norway in 10%. In their last 1 meeting Iraq have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Iraq sit 4th on 0 points, Norway 2nd on 6.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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