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    World Cup · kickoff 00:00
    FT 1-0
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    2nd in the table
    WWLWL
    final
    1 - 0
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    3rd in the table
    WLDWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Draw@ 2.83
    6/10
    Both teams solid qualifiers but MD1 openers often cagey. Ecuador slight favourite but Ivory Coast at home with passionate support, draw feels most likely in tactical chess match.
    GoalsWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.40
    8/10
    MD1 historical prior (59% Under 2.5 across last two WCs) aligns perfectly with market pricing and tactical setup. Both teams will prioritize not losing their opener, defensive caution dominates.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 2.20
    6/10
    Both sides have reliable forwards and neither defense is elite. A 1-1 draw is the central scenario, though 1-0 either way remains possible, hence moderate trust.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Ivory Coast

    Form comparison

    Ecuador

    4.7
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.0
    Form score: Ivory Coast 4.7, Ecuador 4.0
    1.90
    Goals scoredper game
    1.10
    Goals scored: Ivory Coast 1.90, Ecuador 1.10
    0.80
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.70
    Goals conceded: Ivory Coast 0.80, Ecuador 0.70

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5Ivory Coast
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Ecuador2/5
    0/5Ivory Coast
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Ecuador3/5
    1.9Ivory Coast
    Goals For per game
    Ecuador1.1
    0.8Ivory Coast
    Goals Against per game
    Ecuador0.7
    0Ivory Coast
    Win Streakmatches
    Ecuador0
    Season averages • Ivory Coast: 10 matches • Ecuador: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    Mixed4.7/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    Mixed4.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Ivory Coast's perspective
    • 14 Jun 2026Ivory Coast1-0Ecuador
    Ivory Coast
    Ivory Coast
    Last 5 matches
    • 30 Jun 2026vsNorway1-2L
    • 25 Jun 2026vsCuraçao0-2W
    • 20 Jun 2026vsGermany2-1L
    • 14 Jun 2026vsEcuador1-0W
    • 08 Jun 2026vsPhiladelphia Union II0-2W
    Ecuador
    Ecuador
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsMexico2-0L
    • 25 Jun 2026vsGermany2-1W
    • 21 Jun 2026vsCuraçao0-0D
    • 14 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast1-0L
    • 07 Jun 2026vsGuatemala3-0W
    PosTeamPts
    1Germany6
    2Ivory Coast6
    3Ecuador4
    4Curaçao1
    Updated daily

    Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: form and season numbers

    Ivory Coast take a form score of 4.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.0 for Ecuador. Ivory Coast have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Ecuador have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Ivory Coast average 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, Ecuador 1.1 and 0.7. Ivory Coast have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches this season, Ecuador in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Ivory Coast have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Ivory Coast sit 2nd on 6 points, Ecuador 3rd on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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