The model's forecast cards
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card the previous engine flagged on this match, under that engine's own rule, which has since been replaced. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.
Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Japan
Form comparisonSweden
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 25 Jun 2026Japan1-1Sweden
- 29 Jun 2026vsBrazil2-1L
- 25 Jun 2026vsSweden1-1D
- 21 Jun 2026vsTunisia0-4W
- 14 Jun 2026vsNetherlands2-2D
- 31 May 2026vsIceland1-0W
- 30 Jun 2026vsFrance3-0L
- 25 Jun 2026vsJapan1-1D
- 20 Jun 2026vsNetherlands5-1L
- 15 Jun 2026vsTunisia5-1W
- 04 Jun 2026vsGreece2-2D
Japan vs Sweden: form and season numbers
Japan take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.4 for Sweden. Japan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Sweden have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Japan average 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Sweden 1.8 and 2.3. Japan have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches this season, Sweden in 0%. In their last 1 meeting Japan have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Japan sit 2nd on 5 points, Sweden 3rd on 4.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram