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    Segunda Division · kickoff 19:30
    FT 0-2
    Leganés
    Leganés
    9th in the table
    WWDLW
    final
    0 - 2
    Castellon
    Castellon
    2nd in the table
    DWWWW

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Castellon or Draw@ 1.34
    7/10
    Castellon winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 67% between them. Only Leganés winning beats it, at 33%.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.33
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 77%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 56%.
    Second goals lineWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.95
    5/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 56%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 30%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    33%
    Leganés
    27%
    Draw
    40%
    Castellon

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    13.10
    X3.34
    22.23

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Leganés

    Form comparison

    Castellon

    6.1
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    7.1
    Form score: Leganés 6.1, Castellon 7.1
    1.10
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.60
    Goals scored: Leganés 1.10, Castellon 1.60
    0.70
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Leganés 0.70, Castellon 1.10
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Leganés mixed, Castellon mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5Leganés
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Castellon3/5
    2/5Leganés
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Castellon1/5
    1.1Leganés
    Goals For per game
    Castellon1.6
    0.7Leganés
    Goals Against per game
    Castellon1.1
    1.7Leganés
    Yellow Cards per game
    Castellon2.0
    0.3Leganés
    Red Cards per game
    Castellon0.0
    1Leganés
    Win Streakmatches
    Castellon4
    Season averages • Leganés: 10 matches • Castellon: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Leganés
    Leganés
    Solid6.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWDLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Castellon
    Castellon
    Solid7.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 3L from Leganés's perspective
    • 16 Jan 2026Castellón2-0Leganes
    • 29 Sept 2025Leganes0-1Castellón
    • 06 Mar 2021Leganes0-0Castellón
    • 04 Oct 2020Castellón2-0Leganes
    Leganés
    Leganés
    Last 5 matches
    • 20 Sept 2026vsGranada CF3-2W
    • 13 Sept 2026vsTenerife2-0L
    • 04 Sept 2026vsLas Palmas0-0D
    • 29 Aug 2026vsEldense1-0W
    • 22 Aug 2026vsOviedo0-1W
    Castellon
    Castellon
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Sept 2026vsTenerife5-0W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsGirona1-2W
    • 06 Sept 2026vsAlbacete2-0W
    • 31 Aug 2026vsCelta de Vigo II1-2W
    • 23 Aug 2026vsSabadell0-0D
    PosTeamPts
    1Eibar18
    2Castellon16
    3Almería15
    4Burgos14
    7Sabadell12
    8Oviedo11
    9Leganés11
    10Tenerife11
    11Las Palmas10
    Updated daily

    Leganés vs Castellon: form and season numbers

    Leganés take a form score of 6.1 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 7.1 for Castellon. Leganés have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Castellon have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Leganés average 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, Castellon 1.6 and 1.1. Leganés have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Castellon in 50%. In their last 4 meetings Leganés have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3. Leganés sit 9th on 11 points, Castellon 2nd on 16.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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