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    Championship · kickoff 20:00
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    Lincoln City
    Lincoln City
    16th in the table
    LWWLL
    We make it
    1-1
    2.5 goals expected
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    3rd in the table
    WWLDD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultBanker
    West Ham United or Draw@ 1.18
    8/10
    West Ham United winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 73% between them. Only Lincoln City winning beats it, at 27%.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.21
    7/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Over 1.5 Goals lands 71%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 45%.
    Both teams to scoreValue
    Yes@ 1.65
    4/10
    We give Lincoln City 65% to score and West Ham United 76%, so both finding the net comes out at 49%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    27%
    Lincoln City
    26%
    Draw
    47%
    West Ham United

    The market rates West Ham United at 57%, so we are 10 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    14.60
    X4.05
    21.65

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Lincoln City

    Form comparison

    West Ham United

    3.9
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    7.3
    Form score: Lincoln City 3.9, West Ham United 7.3
    1.00
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    2.70
    Goals scored: Lincoln City 1.00, West Ham United 2.70
    1.40
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.40
    Goals conceded: Lincoln City 1.40, West Ham United 1.40
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Lincoln City mixed, West Ham United mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Lincoln City
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    West Ham United1/5
    2/5Lincoln City
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    West Ham United0/5
    1.0Lincoln City
    Goals For per game
    West Ham United2.7
    1.4Lincoln City
    Goals Against per game
    West Ham United1.4
    2.5Lincoln City
    Yellow Cards per game
    West Ham United1.4
    0.0Lincoln City
    Red Cards per game
    West Ham United0.1
    0Lincoln City
    Win Streakmatches
    West Ham United0
    Season averages • Lincoln City: 10 matches • West Ham United: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Lincoln City
    Lincoln City
    Mixed3.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    Solid7.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWLDD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Lincoln City's perspective
    • 27 Sept 2023Lincoln0-1West Ham
    Lincoln City
    Lincoln City
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsSheffield Utd3-0L
    • 19 Sept 2026vsSwansea1-2L
    • 15 Sept 2026vsBristol City0-1W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsPreston0-1W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsBournemouth4-0L
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    Last 5 matches
    • 09 Oct 2026vsQPR1-1D
    • 19 Sept 2026vsMillwall2-2D
    • 15 Sept 2026vsFulham2-3L
    • 11 Sept 2026vsWrexham6-0W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsBolton2-3W
    PosTeamPts
    1Swansea City20
    2Middlesbrough18
    3West Ham United16
    4Stoke City16
    5Wolverhampton Wanderers14
    14Sheffield United12
    15Wrexham AFC11
    16Lincoln City11
    17Bolton10
    18Norwich City9
    Updated daily

    Lincoln City vs West Ham United: form and season numbers

    Lincoln City take a form score of 3.9 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 7.3 for West Ham United. Lincoln City have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5, while West Ham United have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Lincoln City average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, West Ham United 2.7 and 1.4. Lincoln City have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, West Ham United in 20%. In their last 1 meeting Lincoln City have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Lincoln City sit 16th on 11 points, West Ham United 3rd on 16.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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