Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Mainz
Form comparisonFreiburg
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Mainz weak, Freiburg weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 12 Apr 2026FSV Mainz 050-1SC Freiburg
- 30 Nov 2025SC Freiburg4-0FSV Mainz 05
- 15 Mar 2025FSV Mainz 052-2SC Freiburg
- 03 Nov 2024SC Freiburg0-0FSV Mainz 05
- 21 Apr 2024SC Freiburg1-1FSV Mainz 05
- 10 Oct 2026vsBayer Leverkusen3-4L
- 03 Oct 2026vsWaldhof Mannheim0-3W
- 19 Sept 2026vsBorussia Mönchengladbach3-4W
- 12 Sept 2026vsEintracht Frankfurt1-3L
- 06 Sept 2026vsHamburger SV0-5W
- 11 Oct 2026vsFC Schalke 042-1W
- 03 Oct 2026vsFC Luzern4-2W
- 19 Sept 2026vsEintracht Frankfurt2-2D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBorussia Mönchengladbach5-0W
- 05 Sept 2026vsSC Paderborn 070-1W
Mainz vs Freiburg: form and season numbers
Mainz take a form score of 7.7 out of 10 into this Bundesliga fixture, against 9.5 for Freiburg. Mainz have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Freiburg have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Mainz average 3.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, Freiburg 3.3 and 0.9. Mainz have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, Freiburg in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Mainz have won 0, drawn 6 and lost 4. Mainz sit 8th on 7 points, Freiburg 1st on 13.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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