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    Segunda Division · kickoff 17:30
    Upcoming
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    6th in the table
    DWWLD
    We make it
    1-1
    2.1 goals expected
    Las Palmas
    Las Palmas
    12th in the table
    DWLLD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultBanker
    Mallorca or Draw@ 1.15
    8/10
    Mallorca winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 74% between them. Only Las Palmas winning beats it, at 26%.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.22
    6/10
    We make the total 2.0 goals, so Over 1.5 Goals lands 61%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 34%.
    Both teams to scoreValue
    Yes@ 1.78
    2/10
    We give Mallorca 70% to score and Las Palmas 57%, so both finding the net comes out at 40%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    44%
    Mallorca
    30%
    Draw
    26%
    Las Palmas

    The market rates Mallorca at 59%, so we are 15 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.1 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    11.58
    X3.92
    25.33

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Mallorca

    Form comparison

    Las Palmas

    6.2
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    4.1
    Form score: Mallorca 6.2, Las Palmas 4.1
    1.20
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.50
    Goals scored: Mallorca 1.20, Las Palmas 1.50
    0.40
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.50
    Goals conceded: Mallorca 0.40, Las Palmas 1.50
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    weak

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Mallorca mixed, Las Palmas weak

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    4/5Mallorca
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Las Palmas2/5
    3/5Mallorca
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Las Palmas1/5
    1.2Mallorca
    Goals For per game
    Las Palmas1.5
    0.4Mallorca
    Goals Against per game
    Las Palmas1.5
    3.1Mallorca
    Yellow Cards per game
    Las Palmas2.1
    0.0Mallorca
    Red Cards per game
    Las Palmas0.3
    0Mallorca
    Win Streakmatches
    Las Palmas0
    Season averages • Mallorca: 10 matches • Las Palmas: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Solid6.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    0/5
    BTTS
    0/5
    Clean sheet
    4/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Las Palmas
    Las Palmas
    Mixed4.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWLLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    4W - 3D - 1L from Mallorca's perspective
    • 16 Feb 2025Mallorca3-1Las Palmas
    • 23 Nov 2024Las Palmas2-3Mallorca
    • 11 May 2024Mallorca1-0Las Palmas
    • 12 Aug 2023Las Palmas1-1Mallorca
    • 04 Apr 2021Las Palmas1-1Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Last 5 matches
    • 04 Oct 2026vsGirona0-0D
    • 27 Sept 2026vsAlmeria0-1L
    • 19 Sept 2026vsReal Sociedad II0-1W
    • 13 Sept 2026vsSabadell2-0W
    • 05 Sept 2026vsEldense0-0D
    Las Palmas
    Las Palmas
    Last 5 matches
    • 04 Oct 2026vsValladolid2-2D
    • 27 Sept 2026vsEibar3-2L
    • 20 Sept 2026vsBurgos1-2L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsCadiz0-1W
    • 04 Sept 2026vsLeganes0-0D
    PosTeamPts
    4Sabadell16
    5Girona14
    6Mallorca14
    7Burgos14
    8Sporting Gijón13
    10Oviedo11
    11Celta Vigo B11
    12Las Palmas11
    13Eldense11
    14Tenerife11
    Updated daily

    Mallorca vs Las Palmas: form and season numbers

    Mallorca take a form score of 6.2 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 4.1 for Las Palmas. Mallorca have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Las Palmas have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Mallorca average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game, Las Palmas 1.5 and 1.5. Mallorca have kept a clean sheet in 70% of their matches this season, Las Palmas in 30%. In their last 8 meetings Mallorca have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1. Mallorca sit 6th on 14 points, Las Palmas 12th on 11.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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