Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Marseille
Form comparisonToulouse
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Marseille strong, Toulouse mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 07 Mar 2026Toulouse0-1Marseille
- 04 Mar 2026Marseille2-2Toulouse
- 29 Nov 2025Marseille2-2Toulouse
- 06 Apr 2025Marseille3-2Toulouse
- 31 Aug 2024Toulouse1-3Marseille
- 20 Sept 2026vsParis Saint Germain1-2L
- 17 Sept 2026vsBeşiktaş4-1L
- 11 Sept 2026vsRennes1-0L
- 06 Sept 2026vsParis FC2-3L
- 30 Aug 2026vsMonaco2-0L
- 19 Sept 2026vsLe Havre3-2W
- 12 Sept 2026vsLorient2-2D
- 03 Sept 2026vsLille0-1L
- 29 Aug 2026vsStade Brestois 292-2D
- 22 Aug 2026vsLyon0-2L
Marseille vs Toulouse: form and season numbers
Marseille take a form score of 3.4 out of 10 into this Ligue 1 fixture, against 4.1 for Toulouse. Marseille have 5 defeats in their last 5, while Toulouse have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Marseille average 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, Toulouse 1.3 and 1.4. Marseille have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Toulouse in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Marseille have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0. Marseille sit 17th on 3 points, Toulouse 13th on 5.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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