The model's forecast cards
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card the previous engine flagged on this match, under that engine's own rule, which has since been replaced. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Mexico
Form comparisonSouth Africa
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 11 Jun 2026Mexico2-0South Africa
- 11 Jun 2010South Africa1-1Mexico
- 06 Jul 2026vsEngland2-3L
- 01 Jul 2026vsEcuador2-0W
- 25 Jun 2026vsCzechia0-3W
- 19 Jun 2026vsSouth Korea1-0W
- 11 Jun 2026vsSouth Africa2-0W
- 28 Jun 2026vsCanada0-1L
- 25 Jun 2026vsSouth Korea1-0W
- 18 Jun 2026vsCzechia1-1D
- 11 Jun 2026vsMexico2-0L
- 06 Jun 2026vsJamaica1-1D
Mexico vs South Africa: form and season numbers
Mexico take a form score of 6.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.6 for South Africa. Mexico have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while South Africa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Mexico average 1.9 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, South Africa 0.9 and 1.2. Mexico have kept a clean sheet in 70% of their matches this season, South Africa in 20%. In their last 2 meetings Mexico have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0. Mexico sit 1st on 9 points, South Africa 2nd on 4.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram