Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.
What we would back
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Form comparisonSouth Korea
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 19 Jun 2026Mexico1-0South Korea
- 10 Sept 2025Mexico2-2South Korea
- 14 Nov 2020Mexico3-2South Korea
- 23 Jun 2018South Korea1-2Mexico
- 06 Jul 2026vsEngland2-3L
- 01 Jul 2026vsEcuador2-0W
- 25 Jun 2026vsCzechia0-3W
- 19 Jun 2026vsSouth Korea1-0W
- 11 Jun 2026vsSouth Africa2-0W
- 25 Jun 2026vsSouth Africa1-0L
- 19 Jun 2026vsMexico1-0L
- 12 Jun 2026vsCzechia2-1W
- 04 Jun 2026vsEl Salvador1-0W
- 31 May 2026vsTrinidad and Tobago5-0W
Mexico vs South Korea: form and season numbers
Mexico take a form score of 6.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.0 for South Korea. Mexico have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while South Korea have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Mexico average 1.9 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game, South Korea 1.3 and 0.8. Mexico have kept a clean sheet in 70% of their matches this season, South Korea in 50%. In their last 4 meetings Mexico have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0. Mexico sit 1st on 9 points, South Korea 3rd on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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