Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Middlesbrough
Form comparisonDerby County
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Middlesbrough mixed, Derby County mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 01 Jan 2026Derby1-0Middlesbrough
- 29 Nov 2025Middlesbrough2-1Derby
- 01 Mar 2025Middlesbrough1-0Derby
- 17 Aug 2024Derby1-0Middlesbrough
- 12 Feb 2022Middlesbrough4-1Derby
- 10 Oct 2026vsWolves1-0W
- 19 Sept 2026vsBirmingham2-2D
- 15 Sept 2026vsMillwall2-2D
- 12 Sept 2026vsNorwich4-3W
- 08 Sept 2026vsCrystal Palace3-0L
- 10 Oct 2026vsWrexham1-1D
- 19 Sept 2026vsBurnley1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBirmingham1-2L
- 09 Sept 2026vsWest Brom0-1L
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Ham3-0L
Middlesbrough vs Derby County: form and season numbers
Middlesbrough take a form score of 6.3 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 2.4 for Derby County. Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Derby County have 2 draws and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Middlesbrough average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Derby County 0.9 and 1.7. Middlesbrough have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Derby County in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Middlesbrough have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4. Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 18 points, Derby County 23rd on 6.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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