Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Millwall
Form comparisonDerby County
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Millwall mixed, Derby County mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 10 Mar 2026Millwall1-0Derby
- 10 Dec 2025Derby1-1Millwall
- 22 Feb 2025Derby0-1Millwall
- 19 Oct 2024Millwall1-1Derby
- 23 Feb 2022Derby1-2Millwall
- 10 Oct 2026vsPreston0-1W
- 19 Sept 2026vsWest Ham2-2D
- 15 Sept 2026vsMiddlesbrough2-2D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBlackburn3-1L
- 08 Sept 2026vsNewcastle0-1L
- 10 Oct 2026vsWrexham1-1D
- 19 Sept 2026vsBurnley1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBirmingham1-2L
- 09 Sept 2026vsWest Brom0-1L
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Ham3-0L
Millwall vs Derby County: form and season numbers
Millwall take a form score of 4.8 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 2.4 for Derby County. Millwall have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Derby County have 2 draws and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Millwall average 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Derby County 0.9 and 1.7. Millwall have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Derby County in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Millwall have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2. Millwall sit 8th on 14 points, Derby County 23rd on 6.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram