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    Serie B · kickoff 18:30
    Upcoming
    Modena
    Modena
    6th in the table
    WWLDW
    We make it
    1-1
    2.3 goals expected
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    9th in the table
    WWLWW

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match result
    Modena or Draw@ 1.27
    7/10
    Modena winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 70% between them. Only Hellas Verona winning beats it, at 30%.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.29
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 79%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 59%.
    Second goals lineValue
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.82
    5/10
    We make the total 2.3 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 59%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 33%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    42%
    Modena
    28%
    Draw
    30%
    Hellas Verona

    The market rates Hellas Verona at 25%, so we are 5 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.3 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.02
    X3.24
    23.70

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Modena

    Form comparison

    Hellas Verona

    6.1
    Form scoreout of 10, form window
    7.0
    Form score: Modena 6.1, Hellas Verona 7.0
    1.38
    Goals scoredper game, form window
    2.10
    Goals scored: Modena 1.38, Hellas Verona 2.10
    0.88
    Goals concededper game, form window, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Modena 0.88, Hellas Verona 1.10
    strong
    Opposition facedform window
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Modena strong, Hellas Verona mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Modena
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Hellas Verona1/5
    1/5Modena
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Hellas Verona0/5
    1.4Modena
    Goals For per game
    Hellas Verona2.1
    0.9Modena
    Goals Against per game
    Hellas Verona1.1
    1.8Modena
    Yellow Cards per game
    Hellas Verona2.1
    1Modena
    Win Streakmatches
    Hellas Verona2
    Season averages • Modena: 8 matches • Hellas Verona: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Modena
    Modena
    Solid6.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWLDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    Solid7.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWLWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Modena's perspective
    • 29 Jul 2021Hellas Verona3-2Modena
    Modena
    Modena
    Last 5 matches
    • 20 Sept 2026vsEmpoli2-1W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsSudtirol1-1D
    • 06 Sept 2026vsAvellino0-1L
    • 28 Aug 2026vsCremonese0-3W
    • 22 Aug 2026vsBenevento1-2W
    Hellas Verona
    Hellas Verona
    Last 5 matches
    • 02 Oct 2026vsFC Lugano1-3W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsVicenza Virtus2-1W
    • 11 Sept 2026vsBenevento3-1L
    • 06 Sept 2026vsArezzo5-0W
    • 03 Sept 2026vsCagliari1-2W
    PosTeamPts
    4Ascoli11
    5Avellino10
    6Modena10
    7Pisa10
    8Benevento10
    9Hellas Verona7
    10Padova7
    11Cesena7
    Updated daily

    Modena vs Hellas Verona: form and season numbers

    Modena take a form score of 6.1 out of 10 into this Serie B fixture, against 7.0 for Hellas Verona. Modena have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Hellas Verona have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Modena average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Hellas Verona 2.1 and 1.1. Modena have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their matches this season, Hellas Verona in 30%. In their last 1 meeting Modena have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Modena sit 6th on 10 points, Hellas Verona 9th on 7.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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