Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Nacional mixed, Moreirense FC mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Nacional take a form score of 2.4 out of 10 into this Primeira Liga fixture, against 3.5 for Moreirense FC. Nacional have 2 wins and 3 defeats in their last 5 competitive matches, while Moreirense FC have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Nacional average 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Moreirense FC 1.1 and 1.3. Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Moreirense FC in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Nacional have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5. Nacional sit 13th on 10 points, Moreirense FC 9th on 14.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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