

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Napoli mixed, Lecce mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Napoli take a form score of 4.6 out of 10 into this Serie A fixture, against 1.7 for Lecce. Napoli have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Lecce have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Napoli average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Lecce 1.1 and 2.1. Napoli have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Lecce in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Napoli have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1. Napoli sit 8th on 14 points, Lecce 14th on 9.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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