The model's forecast cards
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card the previous engine flagged on this match, under that engine's own rule, which has since been replaced. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Netherlands
Form comparisonSweden
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 20 Jun 2026Netherlands5-1Sweden
- 10 Oct 2017Netherlands2-0Sweden
- 06 Sept 2016Sweden1-1Netherlands
- 30 Jun 2026vsMorocco1-1D
- 25 Jun 2026vsTunisia1-3W
- 20 Jun 2026vsSweden5-1W
- 14 Jun 2026vsJapan2-2D
- 08 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan2-1W
- 30 Jun 2026vsFrance3-0L
- 25 Jun 2026vsJapan1-1D
- 20 Jun 2026vsNetherlands5-1L
- 15 Jun 2026vsTunisia5-1W
- 04 Jun 2026vsGreece2-2D
Netherlands vs Sweden: form and season numbers
Netherlands take a form score of 6.9 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.4 for Sweden. Netherlands have 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5, while Sweden have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Netherlands average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Sweden 1.8 and 2.3. Netherlands have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Sweden in 0%. In their last 3 meetings Netherlands have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0. Netherlands sit 1st on 7 points, Sweden 3rd on 4.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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