

Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.
The market rates New England Revolution at 50%, so we are 13 points lower than the price implies.
Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: New England Revolution mixed, Seattle Sounders weakThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




New England Revolution take a form score of 4.7 out of 10 into this MLS fixture, against 6.8 for Seattle Sounders. New England Revolution have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Seattle Sounders have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season New England Revolution average 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Seattle Sounders 1.8 and 1.1. New England Revolution have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Seattle Sounders in 30%. In their last 9 meetings New England Revolution have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3. New England Revolution sit 4th on 46 points, Seattle Sounders 7th on 41.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
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