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    World Cup · kickoff 02:00
    FT 1-3
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    4th in the table
    LLDLL
    final
    1 - 3
    Egypt
    Egypt
    2nd in the table
    DWDDL
    We make it 0 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Away Win@ 1.61
    8/10
    Egypt's superior form (4.22 vs 2.44) and scoring output (1.3 vs 0.9 GPG) make them clear favourites. New Zealand's woeful 2.44/10 form indicates defensive fragility against a competent side.
    GoalsLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.65
    7/10
    New Zealand averaging just 0.9 GPG severely limits total goal potential. Egypt likely control possession and win efficiently rather than run up the score in group stage opener.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.65
    8/10
    New Zealand's 0.9 GPG and 2.44/10 form suggest minimal attacking threat. Egypt's World Cup discipline and quality gap makes clean sheet probable.

    New Zealand

    Form comparison

    Egypt

    0.7
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.1
    Form score: New Zealand 0.7, Egypt 3.1
    1.00
    Goals scoredper game
    1.40
    Goals scored: New Zealand 1.00, Egypt 1.40
    2.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.90
    Goals conceded: New Zealand 2.30, Egypt 0.90

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5New Zealand
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Egypt0/5
    2/5New Zealand
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Egypt0/5
    1.0New Zealand
    Goals For per game
    Egypt1.4
    2.3New Zealand
    Goals Against per game
    Egypt0.9
    0New Zealand
    Win Streakmatches
    Egypt0
    Season averages • New Zealand: 10 matches • Egypt: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Poor0.7/10
    LLDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Mixed3.1/10
    DWDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 2L from New Zealand's perspective
    • 22 Jun 2026New Zealand1-3Egypt
    • 22 Mar 2024Egypt1-0New Zealand
    New Zealand
    New Zealand
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsBelgium1-5L
    • 22 Jun 2026vsEgypt1-3L
    • 16 Jun 2026vsIran2-2D
    • 06 Jun 2026vsEngland1-0L
    • 03 Jun 2026vsHaiti4-0L
    Egypt
    Egypt
    Last 5 matches
    • 07 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-2L
    • 03 Jul 2026vsAustralia1-1D
    • 27 Jun 2026vsIran1-1D
    • 22 Jun 2026vsNew Zealand1-3W
    • 15 Jun 2026vsBelgium1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1Belgium5
    2Egypt5
    3Iran3
    4New Zealand1
    Updated daily

    New Zealand vs Egypt: form and season numbers

    New Zealand take a form score of 0.7 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.1 for Egypt. New Zealand have 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Egypt have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season New Zealand average 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, Egypt 1.4 and 0.9. New Zealand have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Egypt in 40%. In their last 2 meetings New Zealand have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2. New Zealand sit 4th on 1 point, Egypt 2nd on 5.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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