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    World Cup · kickoff 20:00
    FT 1-4
    Norway
    Norway
    2nd in the table
    WLWWL
    final
    1 - 4
    France
    France
    1st in the table
    WWWLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    DNB France@ 1.26
    7/10
    France's quality edge shows despite Norway's strong 8.22 form, France at 8.67 form and 2.7 GPG away matches their tournament pedigree. DNB Away at 1.26 preferred over straight Away Win given World Cup knockout stage intensity.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.50
    8/10
    Both sides averaging 2.6+ GPG with attacking intent. Norway will need to press for goals at home, France counter-attacking threat, 3 total goals fits the profile of an open World Cup clash.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 1.57
    7/10
    Norway's 2.6 GPG at home and need to attack in a World Cup fixture makes them likely to score. France have conceded in competitive away matches despite strong form, both to find net.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how the market sees it finishing
    20%
    Norway
    21%
    Draw
    59%
    France

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    14.60
    X4.50
    21.61

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Norway

    Form comparison

    France

    5.3
    Form scoreout of 10
    4.0
    Form score: Norway 5.3, France 4.0
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    2.40
    Goals scored: Norway 1.80, France 2.40
    1.50
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.30
    Goals conceded: Norway 1.50, France 1.30

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Norway
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    France3/5
    0/5Norway
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    France1/5
    1.8Norway
    Goals For per game
    France2.4
    1.5Norway
    Goals Against per game
    France1.3
    0Norway
    Win Streakmatches
    France0
    Season averages • Norway: 10 matches • France: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Norway
    Norway
    Solid5.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    France
    France
    Mixed4.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Norway's perspective
    • 26 Jun 2026Norway1-4France
    Norway
    Norway
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2L
    • 05 Jul 2026vsBrazil1-2W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast1-2W
    • 26 Jun 2026vsFrance1-4L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsSenegal3-2W
    France
    France
    Last 5 matches
    • 18 Jul 2026vsEngland4-6L
    • 14 Jul 2026vsSpain0-2L
    • 09 Jul 2026vsMorocco2-0W
    • 04 Jul 2026vsParaguay0-1W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsSweden3-0W
    PosTeamPts
    1France9
    2Norway6
    3Senegal3
    4Iraq0
    Updated daily

    Norway vs France: form and season numbers

    Norway take a form score of 5.3 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.0 for France. Norway have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while France have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Norway average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, France 2.4 and 1.3. Norway have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, France in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Norway have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Norway sit 2nd on 6 points, France 1st on 9.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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