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    World Cup · kickoff 01:00
    FT 3-2
    Norway
    Norway
    2nd in the table
    WLWWL
    final
    3 - 2
    Senegal
    Senegal
    3rd in the table
    DLLWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 2.30
    7/10
    Norway's form advantage is significant (5.11 vs 2.89) and they're averaging 3.1 GPG at home. Senegal's away form is poor at 2.89/10 with just 1.6 GPG, a 1.5 GPG deficit suggests they'll struggle to match Norway's output.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.91
    8/10
    Norway averaging 3.1 GPG at home points to multiple goals. Combined total of 4.7 GPG between both sides suggests 3+ goals is likely, even with Senegal's modest away output.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 1.73
    6/10
    Norway's attacking output (3.1 GPG) implies defensive vulnerability. Senegal averaging 1.6 GPG away suggests they can find at least one goal despite poor form of 2.89/10.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Norway

    Form comparison

    Senegal

    5.3
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.9
    Form score: Norway 5.3, Senegal 2.9
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    1.80
    Goals scored: Norway 1.80, Senegal 1.80
    1.50
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.60
    Goals conceded: Norway 1.50, Senegal 1.60

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Norway
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Senegal2/5
    0/5Norway
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Senegal1/5
    1.8Norway
    Goals For per game
    Senegal1.8
    1.5Norway
    Goals Against per game
    Senegal1.6
    0Norway
    Win Streakmatches
    Senegal0
    Season averages • Norway: 10 matches • Senegal: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Norway
    Norway
    Solid5.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Senegal
    Senegal
    Poor2.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DLLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Norway's perspective
    • 23 Jun 2026Norway3-2Senegal
    Norway
    Norway
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Jul 2026vsEngland1-2L
    • 05 Jul 2026vsBrazil1-2W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsIvory Coast1-2W
    • 26 Jun 2026vsFrance1-4L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsSenegal3-2W
    Senegal
    Senegal
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsBelgium3-2L
    • 26 Jun 2026vsIraq5-0W
    • 23 Jun 2026vsNorway3-2L
    • 16 Jun 2026vsFrance3-1L
    • 09 Jun 2026vsSaudi Arabia0-0D
    PosTeamPts
    1France9
    2Norway6
    3Senegal3
    4Iraq0
    Updated daily

    Norway vs Senegal: form and season numbers

    Norway take a form score of 5.3 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.9 for Senegal. Norway have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Senegal have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Norway average 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Senegal 1.8 and 1.6. Norway have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Senegal in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Norway have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Norway sit 2nd on 6 points, Senegal 3rd on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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