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    MLS · kickoff 00:30
    FT 4-1
    NY Red Bulls
    NY Red Bulls
    8th in the table
    LWWLW
    final
    4 - 1
    San Diego FC
    San Diego FC
    12th in the table
    LLDDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    NY Red Bulls or Draw@ 1.53
    6/10
    NY Red Bulls winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 63% between them. Only San Diego FC winning beats it, at 37%.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.38
    5/10
    We make the total 3.0 goals, so Over 2.5 Goals lands 57%. The next line up, Over 3.5, is 35%.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 1.35
    6/10
    We give NY Red Bulls 78% to score and San Diego FC 77%, so both finding the net comes out at 60%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    39%
    NY Red Bulls
    24%
    Draw
    37%
    San Diego FC

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 3 goalsWe make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.55
    X3.90
    22.40

    How this scoreline is calculated

    NY Red Bulls

    Form comparison

    San Diego FC

    3.8
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    3.3
    Form score: NY Red Bulls 3.8, San Diego FC 3.3
    0.90
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.60
    Goals scored: NY Red Bulls 0.90, San Diego FC 1.60
    1.30
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    2.20
    Goals conceded: NY Red Bulls 1.30, San Diego FC 2.20
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: NY Red Bulls mixed, San Diego FC mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5NY Red Bulls
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    San Diego FC0/5
    2/5NY Red Bulls
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    San Diego FC1/5
    0.9NY Red Bulls
    Goals For per game
    San Diego FC1.6
    1.3NY Red Bulls
    Goals Against per game
    San Diego FC2.2
    1.8NY Red Bulls
    Yellow Cards per game
    San Diego FC2.1
    0.0NY Red Bulls
    Red Cards per game
    San Diego FC0.4
    1NY Red Bulls
    Win Streakmatches
    San Diego FC0
    Season averages • NY Red Bulls: 10 matches • San Diego FC: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    NY Red Bulls
    NY Red Bulls
    Mixed3.8/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWWLW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    San Diego FC
    San Diego FC
    Mixed3.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    5/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 1L from NY Red Bulls's perspective
    • 10 Oct 2026New York Red Bulls4-1San Diego
    • 15 Feb 2025San Diego6-0New York Red Bulls
    NY Red Bulls
    NY Red Bulls
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsSan Diego4-1W
    • 30 Sept 2026vsSt. Louis City0-3L
    • 18 Sept 2026vsNew York City FC0-1W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsColumbus Crew0-1W
    • 10 Sept 2026vsLos Angeles FC2-0L
    San Diego FC
    San Diego FC
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsNew York Red Bulls4-1L
    • 27 Sept 2026vsAustin3-3D
    • 20 Sept 2026vsInter Miami2-2D
    • 14 Sept 2026vsPhiladelphia Union0-5L
    • 10 Sept 2026vsSan Jose Earthquakes2-3L
    PosTeamPts
    10Portland Timbers33
    11Real Salt Lake32
    12San Diego FC32
    13Austin FC31
    14Minnesota United FC30
    6Philadelphia Union42
    7Orlando City SC37
    8NY Red Bulls36
    9FC Cincinnati36
    10NYCFC33
    Updated daily

    NY Red Bulls vs San Diego FC: form and season numbers

    NY Red Bulls take a form score of 3.8 out of 10 into this MLS fixture, against 3.3 for San Diego FC. NY Red Bulls have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while San Diego FC have 2 draws and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season NY Red Bulls average 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, San Diego FC 1.6 and 2.2. NY Red Bulls have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, San Diego FC in 20%. In their last 2 meetings NY Red Bulls have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1. NY Red Bulls sit 8th on 36 points, San Diego FC 12th on 32.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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