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    World Cup · kickoff 00:00
    FT 0-1
    Panama
    Panama
    4th in the table
    WDLLL
    final
    0 - 1
    Croatia
    Croatia
    2nd in the table
    WLWWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Away Win@ 1.53
    7/10
    Croatia's superior tournament pedigree and quality outweighs the marginal form difference (3.33 vs 3.56). Panama averaging 1.7 GPG scored but Croatia's 2.0 GPG away and World Cup experience should prevail in a must-win group stage match.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.95
    6/10
    Combined output of 3.7 GPG between both sides. Panama will need to attack at home in World Cup opener, creating openness. Croatia historically score freely in group stages (2.0 GPG away this cycle).
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 2.05
    6/10
    Panama at home in World Cup will push forward (1.7 GPG scored). Croatia's recent away form shows defensive vulnerability. Both teams need points, creating attacking urgency and counter-attack opportunities.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Panama

    Form comparison

    Croatia

    1.1
    Form scoreout of 10
    5.3
    Form score: Panama 1.1, Croatia 5.3
    1.10
    Goals scoredper game
    1.70
    Goals scored: Panama 1.10, Croatia 1.70
    1.70
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.70
    Goals conceded: Panama 1.70, Croatia 1.70

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Panama
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Croatia1/5
    3/5Panama
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Croatia0/5
    1.1Panama
    Goals For per game
    Croatia1.7
    1.7Panama
    Goals Against per game
    Croatia1.7
    0Panama
    Win Streakmatches
    Croatia0
    Season averages • Panama: 10 matches • Croatia: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Panama
    Panama
    Poor1.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WDLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Solid5.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Panama's perspective
    • 23 Jun 2026Panama0-1Croatia
    Panama
    Panama
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsEngland0-2L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsCroatia0-1L
    • 17 Jun 2026vsGhana1-0L
    • 06 Jun 2026vsBosnia & Herzegovina1-1D
    • 04 Jun 2026vsDominican Republic4-2W
    Croatia
    Croatia
    Last 5 matches
    • 02 Jul 2026vsPortugal2-1L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsGhana2-1W
    • 23 Jun 2026vsPanama0-1W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsEngland4-2L
    • 07 Jun 2026vsSlovenia2-1W
    PosTeamPts
    1England7
    2Croatia6
    3Ghana4
    4Panama0
    Updated daily

    Panama vs Croatia: form and season numbers

    Panama take a form score of 1.1 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 5.3 for Croatia. Panama have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Croatia have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Panama average 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, Croatia 1.7 and 1.7. Panama have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Croatia in 10%. In their last 1 meeting Panama have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Panama sit 4th on 0 points, Croatia 2nd on 6.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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