Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Parma mixed, Napoli mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Parma take a form score of 3.3 out of 10 into this Serie A fixture, against 4.6 for Napoli. Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Napoli have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Parma average 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Napoli 1.8 and 1.9. Parma have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Napoli in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Parma have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5. Parma sit 16th on 8 points, Napoli 10th on 15.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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