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    World Cup · kickoff 18:00
    FT 1-1
    Portugal
    Portugal
    2nd in the table
    DWDWL
    final
    1 - 1
    DR Congo
    DR Congo
    3rd in the table
    LDLWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.29
    9/10
    Portugal in exceptional form (9.11/10) averaging 2.6 GPG against DR Congo's weak 4.22/10 form and 1.2 GPG. World Cup opener where quality gap is decisive.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.75
    8/10
    Portugal's 2.6 GPG at home suggests multiple goals. DR Congo concede heavily against elite opposition, and Portugal typically dominate opening World Cup fixtures.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.59
    8/10
    DR Congo's 1.2 GPG and 4.22/10 form suggests scoring difficulties against elite defenses. Portugal expected to control possession and limit chances.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Portugal

    Form comparison

    DR Congo

    4.9
    Form scoreout of 10
    3.1
    Form score: Portugal 4.9, DR Congo 3.1
    2.30
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: Portugal 2.30, DR Congo 1.20
    0.60
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: Portugal 0.60, DR Congo 0.80

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Portugal
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    DR Congo0/5
    2/5Portugal
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    DR Congo1/5
    2.3Portugal
    Goals For per game
    DR Congo1.2
    0.6Portugal
    Goals Against per game
    DR Congo0.8
    0Portugal
    Win Streakmatches
    DR Congo0
    Season averages • Portugal: 10 matches • DR Congo: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Mixed4.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    DR Congo
    DR Congo
    Mixed3.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LDLWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Portugal's perspective
    • 17 Jun 2026Portugal1-1Congo DR
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Last 5 matches
    • 06 Jul 2026vsSpain0-1L
    • 02 Jul 2026vsCroatia2-1W
    • 27 Jun 2026vsColombia0-0D
    • 23 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan5-0W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsCongo DR1-1D
    DR Congo
    DR Congo
    Last 5 matches
    • 01 Jul 2026vsEngland2-1L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan3-1W
    • 24 Jun 2026vsColombia1-0L
    • 17 Jun 2026vsPortugal1-1D
    • 09 Jun 2026vsChile1-2L
    PosTeamPts
    1Colombia7
    2Portugal5
    3DR Congo4
    4Uzbekistan0
    Updated daily

    Portugal vs DR Congo: form and season numbers

    Portugal take a form score of 4.9 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 3.1 for DR Congo. Portugal have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while DR Congo have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Portugal average 2.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, DR Congo 1.2 and 0.8. Portugal have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, DR Congo in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Portugal have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Portugal sit 2nd on 5 points, DR Congo 3rd on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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