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    World Cup · kickoff 18:00
    FT 5-0
    Portugal
    Portugal
    2nd in the table
    DWDWL
    final
    5 - 0
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    4th in the table
    LLLLL
    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.20
    9/10
    Portugal massively superior with 7.33/10 form vs Uzbekistan's 1.11/10. Home side averaging 2.2 GPG and facing a side in poor form at 1.11/10, World Cup stage favours the established European power.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.57
    8/10
    Portugal averaging 2.2 GPG and likely to dominate possession. Uzbekistan's 1.11/10 form suggests defensive fragility, expecting Portugal to rack up goals in a group stage mismatch.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.58
    8/10
    Uzbekistan's abysmal 1.11/10 form and likely defensive setup against a superior opponent. Portugal expected to control the match and keep a clean sheet in a World Cup group fixture.

    Portugal

    Form comparison

    Uzbekistan

    4.9
    Form scoreout of 10
    0.0
    Form score: Portugal 4.9, Uzbekistan 0.0
    2.30
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: Portugal 2.30, Uzbekistan 1.20
    0.60
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    2.00
    Goals conceded: Portugal 0.60, Uzbekistan 2.00

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Portugal
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Uzbekistan0/5
    2/5Portugal
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Uzbekistan2/5
    2.3Portugal
    Goals For per game
    Uzbekistan1.2
    0.6Portugal
    Goals Against per game
    Uzbekistan2.0
    0Portugal
    Win Streakmatches
    Uzbekistan0
    Season averages • Portugal: 10 matches • Uzbekistan: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Mixed4.9/10
    DWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    Poor0.0/10
    LLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Portugal's perspective
    • 23 Jun 2026Portugal5-0Uzbekistan
    Portugal
    Portugal
    Last 5 matches
    • 06 Jul 2026vsSpain0-1L
    • 02 Jul 2026vsCroatia2-1W
    • 27 Jun 2026vsColombia0-0D
    • 23 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan5-0W
    • 17 Jun 2026vsCongo DR1-1D
    Uzbekistan
    Uzbekistan
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsCongo DR3-1L
    • 23 Jun 2026vsPortugal5-0L
    • 18 Jun 2026vsColombia1-3L
    • 08 Jun 2026vsNetherlands2-1L
    • 02 Jun 2026vsCanada2-0L
    PosTeamPts
    1Colombia7
    2Portugal5
    3DR Congo4
    4Uzbekistan0
    Updated daily

    Portugal vs Uzbekistan: form and season numbers

    Portugal take a form score of 4.9 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 0.0 for Uzbekistan. Portugal have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Uzbekistan have 5 defeats in theirs. Across the season Portugal average 2.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, Uzbekistan 1.2 and 2.0. Portugal have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Uzbekistan in 20%. In their last 1 meeting Portugal have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Portugal sit 2nd on 5 points, Uzbekistan 4th on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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