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    Champions League · kickoff 20:00
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    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    12th in the table
    WWWDW
    We make it
    1-2
    2.7 goals expected
    FC Porto
    FC Porto
    29th in the table
    LWWWW

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultValue
    FC Porto or Draw@ 1.76
    6/10
    FC Porto winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 65% between them. Only Real Betis winning beats it, at 35%.
    Goals
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.42
    8/10
    We make the total 2.7 goals, so Under 3.5 Goals lands 72%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 50%.
    Both teams to scoreTop Pick
    Yes@ 1.60
    5/10
    We give Real Betis 73% to score and FC Porto 75%, so both finding the net comes out at 55%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    35%
    Real Betis
    26%
    Draw
    39%
    FC Porto

    The market rates Real Betis at 46%, so we are 11 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.7 goalsWe make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.08
    X3.70
    23.40

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Real Betis

    Form comparison

    FC Porto

    7.4
    Form scoreout of 10, form window
    9.0
    Form score: Real Betis 7.4, FC Porto 9.0
    1.89
    Goals scoredper game, form window
    2.30
    Goals scored: Real Betis 1.89, FC Porto 2.30
    1.22
    Goals concededper game, form window, lower is better
    0.70
    Goals conceded: Real Betis 1.22, FC Porto 0.70

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Real Betis
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    FC Porto0/5
    0/5Real Betis
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    FC Porto1/5
    1.9Real Betis
    Goals For per game
    FC Porto2.3
    1.2Real Betis
    Goals Against per game
    FC Porto0.7
    1.7Real Betis
    Yellow Cards per game
    FC Porto1.3
    1Real Betis
    Win Streakmatches
    FC Porto4
    Season averages • Real Betis: 9 matches • FC Porto: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    Solid7.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    FC Porto
    FC Porto
    Excellent9.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 0L from Real Betis's perspective
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Oct 2026vsOsasuna5-2W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsDeportivo La Coruna1-1D
    • 17 Sept 2026vsGetafe1-0W
    • 14 Sept 2026vsVillarreal1-2W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsLille2-3W
    FC Porto
    FC Porto
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsMaritimo1-2W
    • 02 Oct 2026vsDeportivo La Coruna1-3W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsBenfica3-1W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsCasa Pia1-4W
    • 08 Sept 2026vsManchester City0-2L
    PosTeamPts
    10Villarreal3
    11Aston Villa3
    12Real Betis3
    13Atlético Madrid3
    14Dortmund3
    27Lask Linz0
    28Inter Milan0
    29FC Porto0
    30Slavia Praha0
    31Napoli0
    Updated daily

    Real Betis vs FC Porto: form and season numbers

    Real Betis take a form score of 7.4 out of 10 into this Champions League fixture, against 9.0 for FC Porto. Real Betis have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, while FC Porto have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Real Betis average 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, FC Porto 2.3 and 0.7. Real Betis have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their matches this season, FC Porto in 40%. Real Betis sit 12th on 3 points, FC Porto 29th on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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