Almería travel to Real Sociedad B holding a 16-place advantage in the Segunda División table and carrying the weight of three wins from the last four meetings between these sides. The most recent encounter in March 2026 ended 5-1 in Almería's favour, part of a head-to-head sequence that has produced 4.0 goals per fixture and seen both teams score in three of those four clashes. That offensive pattern sits uncomfortably alongside Real Sociedad B's current profile: the hosts have failed to score in 40 percent of their five-match sample and managed just one clean sheet across those outings.

Real Sociedad B opened their league campaign with a 0-1 home defeat to Castellón and carry a poor weighted form score of 3.1 out of 10 into this fixture. Their pre-season offered little encouragement beyond a 4-0 win over PAU, with defeats following against Eibar, Huesca and Zaragoza. Across those five matches the hosts scored 5 and conceded 6, found the net in only two of the five, and sit bottom of the early table on 0 points with a goal difference of -1. The season sample shows 12.2 shots per game and 47.8 percent possession, but only 4 of those attempts have landed on target per outing and the side has scored just 1.37 expected goals per match.

Almería opened with a commanding 3-0 home win over Eldense to sit second in the table, one point behind Andorra, and have conceded nothing in the league so far. Their five-match sample returned 3 wins and 2 defeats, 9 goals scored and 3 conceded, with clean sheets in half of those appearances. Pre-season victories over Cordoba and Al-Nassr by 4-0 and 2-0 respectively frame a side that has scored in three of the last five and kept goal in three as well. The visitors average 10.8 shots and 3.8 on target per game, marginally below the hosts in volume but markedly sharper in competitive execution: 3.00 goals scored per league match against 0.00 conceded.

The head-to-head record offers Real Sociedad B scant comfort, with Almería claiming three of the four meetings and the other finishing 2-2. Three of those four fixtures cleared 2.5 goals, suggesting open exchanges, yet the hosts have managed just 4 goals across the quartet while shipping 12. Almería's steady form rating of 6.4 out of 10 sits 3.3 points clear of the hosts, and the table gap of 16 places after one round reflects not randomness but the distance between a side that has conceded once in five and one that has scored once in competitive action this season.

The numbers point toward Almería extending their dominance in this fixture. Real Sociedad B's failure to score in 40 percent of their sample and their 0-1 opening-day loss contrast sharply with the visitors' perfect defensive record and 3-0 statement win. Whether the match follows the high-scoring template of the head-to-head series or the tighter pattern Almería imposed on Eldense, the value sits with the side that has won three of four and arrives 16 places higher in the table with a goal difference 4 better than their hosts.