Two sides separated by a single place and not a single point sit either side of this fixture, but the numbers underneath that near-identical league line tell very different stories. Real Sociedad B have 8 points from W2 D2 L3, Granada have 8 points from an identical W2 D2 L3, and both carry a goal difference of -1. On paper this looks like a coin flip. In form terms it is not: Real Sociedad B arrive in a poor run while Granada are merely patchy, and Formatic's form gap points clearly toward the visitors.

Real Sociedad B's last 10 make grim reading regardless of competition: W2 D2 L6, 11 scored, 19 conceded, and not one clean sheet in that span. The three most recent competitive results have gone 1-3 away to AD Ceuta FC, 0-1 at home to Mallorca and a heavy 1-5 defeat to Aston Villa U21 in the Premier League International Cup. They have scored in 7 of those 10 games, so the goals threat has not vanished, but conceding at that rate against a Granada side that has kept 4 clean sheets in its own last 10 is an uncomfortable mismatch. The season shot data reinforces the picture: 9.9 shots and just 3.1 on target per game, with only 39.3 percent possession, suggest a team that spends most matches without the ball and struggles to convert the little it creates.

Granada's own form is patchy rather than potent, four wins but also four defeats from their last 10, including a 2-3 home loss to FC Andorra and a 2-3 defeat away to Leganes either side of a 1-1 draw with Albacete. Still, they have scored in 7 of 10 and kept 4 clean sheets, a much sturdier defensive record than their hosts, and their season profile of 16.3 shots, 4.6 on target and 51.1 percent possession per game points to a side that controls territory even when results wobble. A 0-3 away defeat to Eibar shows they are not immune to poor afternoons, but wins over Cordoba (3-1) and Mallorca (2-0) in August suggest they can turn control into goals when their finishing clicks.

The head to head sits firmly with the visitors: Granada have won both of the last two meetings, a 5-2 romp on 4 October 2025 and a 2-0 win on 22 March 2026, with neither game finishing level. Across those two matches there have been 4.5 goals per meeting on average, both teams scoring in one of the two and the over 2.5 line landing in one of the two as well, hinting at a fixture capable of tipping either toward goals or toward a tighter defensive squeeze. Given Real Sociedad B's inability to keep a clean sheet all season and Granada's superior shot volume and possession numbers, the balance of evidence favours a Granada performance built on control and chances created, with the hosts needing their attack, which has found the net in 7 of 10, to outscore a defence that has now conceded 19 in its last 10 matches. Expect goals at both ends to be plausible again, but Granada look the side better equipped to turn territory into a winning scoreline.