

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Real Sociedad mixed, Levante strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Real Sociedad take a form score of 3.2 out of 10 into this La Liga fixture, against 5.2 for Levante. Real Sociedad have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Levante have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Real Sociedad average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Levante 1.2 and 1.1. Real Sociedad have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Levante in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Real Sociedad have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3. Real Sociedad sit 19th on 0 points, Levante 17th on 1.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Real Sociedad enter this fixture anchored to 19th place on 0 points, the only competitive outing so far yielding a 0-1 defeat away to Real Betis. Their pre-season returned 7 goals across four friendlies but conceded 10 in that five-match span, and with 0 clean sheets from those five fixtures the defensive fragility is evident. The sample is slender but instructive: a 3.2-out-of-10 form rating sits firmly in the poor band, and though they have scored in 4 of their last 5, the conversion of possession advantage into protection has not followed. Across three competitive and friendly matches this season they average 52.3 percent possession and generate 8.7 shots per game, yet have conceded in every outing and already sit three points adrift of safety.
Levante arrive two places higher on 1 point from 2 matches, their campaign opening with a 0-3 reverse at Espanyol before a 0-0 draw away to Osasuna steadied the ship. That stalemate delivered their first clean sheet in five outings and lifted their form score to 5.2, a steady rating that reflects resilience without sparkle. Across the last five they have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6, though both victories came in pre-season friendlies. Levante have failed to score in 30 percent of games this term and sit on 0 goals from two competitive fixtures, yet their 1.58 expected goals per match suggests chance creation is not the issue. With 11.2 shots per game and a lower foul count than their opponents, they have shown tactical discipline even as the finishing touch has deserted them.
The head-to-head ledger across the last 10 meetings shows Real Sociedad ahead with 4 wins to Levante's 3 and 3 draws, though the aggregate goals tally of 2.3 per meeting hints at low-scoring affairs. The five itemised results span four years: Real Sociedad won 2-0 at home in April 2026, the sides drew 1-1 in December 2025, and before that Levante edged a 2-1 win in May 2022 while Real Sociedad claimed back-to-back 1-0 victories in August and March 2021. Both teams have scored in 7 of the 10, yet only 4 have crossed 2.5 goals, and the recent pattern leans toward narrow margins and single-goal swings.
The table positions flatten much of the context: Sevilla lead on 6 points while these two occupy the bottom quarter, separated by a single point and a shared goal drought. Real Sociedad's solitary competitive match leaves a 1-game sample insufficient for confident projections, but the underlying numbers, 1.32 expected goals per game against Levante's 1.58, tilt marginally toward the visitors. Levante's form edge of 2 points and their capacity to grind out a clean sheet at Osasuna suggest they carry the steadier platform into this fixture, even if neither side has yet found the net in La Liga proper. The head-to-head record favours the hosts over the long run, but recent meetings have been tight, and with Real Sociedad winless and Levante showing defensive resolve, the value may lie in a cautious scoreline rather than a home banker.
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