Nobody is climbing into this one. Remo sit 19th with 29 points from 34 games, Chapecoense are bottom on 21 from 33, and the gap between them is 8 points and a single place in the table. Remo's goal difference of -20 looks almost tidy next to Chapecoense's -35, a number built on conceding 68 in the league while scoring only 33. Both clubs arrive with form bands rated poor and very poor respectively, Formatic's gauge giving Remo only a slight edge, which tells its own story about the levels on show.

Remo's last 10 read W1 D3 L6, with 9 scored and 18 conceded, and the shape of that run matters as much as the record. There was a 2-1 home win over Botafogo on 29 October sandwiched between four straight defeats either side of it, including a 1-6 mauling away to Palmeiras on 5 November that undoes a lot of the goodwill from three draws in between, against RB Bragantino, Vasco da Gama and Gremio. They have scored in 7 of those 10 matches but kept only 1 clean sheet, and across the season they are averaging 1.09 scored and conceding 1.68 per game, numbers that put them fractionally above a side they still cannot shut out with any consistency.

Chapecoense's return of W2 D1 L7 from their last 10, with 9 scored and 22 conceded, is heavier going. There is no clean sheet anywhere in that sample, and recent concessions include a 0-3 defeat away to RB Bragantino on 28 October, a 1-4 loss at home to Atletico Paranaense on 12 October and a 0-4 beating away to Vitoria on 7 October, a stretch of fixtures that has shipped goals in bunches. Their one bright patch, a 2-1 home win over Fluminense on 24 October, sits isolated between heavier defeats either side, and the season figures back up the fragility: 2.06 conceded per game against only 1.00 scored, with a expected goals average of 0.78 that is the lowest of the two sides by some distance and a shot count of just 10.6 per game against Remo's 15.5.

The head to head offers a reason to expect goals at both ends: across the last 3 meetings, Remo have won once, the other two were draws, both teams scored in all 3, and the meetings have averaged 3.0 goals apiece, including a 2-3 away win for Remo on 17 May 2026 and two separate 1-1 draws either side of it. Only 1 of those 3 finished over 2.5 goals, though, so the history leans toward tight, high-involvement scorelines rather than one-sided floods. With Remo building from a marginally sturdier base and Chapecoense failing to keep a single clean sheet in their last 10, this looks an even contest in table terms but one where Remo's extra solidity, however slight, should be enough to edge a game that neither side is likely to shut down cleanly.