

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Saint Etienne weak, Rodez strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Saint Etienne take a form score of 6.6 out of 10 into this Ligue 2 fixture, against 6.1 for Rodez. Saint Etienne have 5 wins in their last 5, while Rodez have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Saint Etienne average 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Rodez 2.4 and 1.7. Saint Etienne have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Rodez in 11%. In their last 9 meetings Saint Etienne have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 3. Saint Etienne sit 1st on 9 points, Rodez 4th on 6.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Saint Etienne and Rodez arrive at this Friday night fixture occupying 1st and 3rd respectively in the Ligue 2 table, separated by 2 places but level on 3 points after opening-day victories. Both sides began the campaign with identical 3-goal hauls, though the hosts kept a clean sheet in their 3-0 win at Sochaux while Rodez conceded once in beating Laval 3-1 at home. That defensive solidity gives Saint Etienne the superior goal difference of plus 3 against Rodez's plus 2, but the broader picture over recent weeks tips slightly in the visitors' favour.
Rodez carry a form score of 7.1 out of 10 into this encounter, rated strong and a full point higher than Saint Etienne's 6.1, which sits in the steady band. The gap reflects contrasting records across their last 5 outings: Saint Etienne posted 3 wins and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 6, while Rodez managed 3 wins, a draw and a single loss, finding the net 12 times but shipping 8. Rodez have scored in all 5 matches and failed to record a clean sheet in any, suggesting an open, attack-minded profile that aligns with their season averages of 14.2 shots and 4.5 shots on target per game. Saint Etienne, by contrast, have kept 2 clean sheets in 5 and failed to score in 30 percent of games, though much of that sample leans on pre-season friendlies that carry lighter weight than competitive fixtures.
The head to head record over the last 9 meetings offers no overwhelming pattern: Rodez edge it with 3 wins to Saint Etienne's 2, alongside 4 draws. Goals have been sparse, averaging 2.0 per meeting, with both teams scoring in 4 of 9 and over 2.5 goals landing in only 3 of 9. The five most recent encounters capture the range: Saint Etienne's 4-0 home win in August 2025 sits alongside three tighter results, including a 0-0 draw in May 2026 and Rodez's 2-1 victory the week before. Saint Etienne won both fixtures across the 2024 meetings, 2-0 and 1-1, with the latter officially recorded as a draw.
Saint Etienne average 48 percent possession and 12.4 shots per game over their 5-match sample, converting 3.6 on target and generating 4.4 corners. Rodez operate on 40 percent possession but push 14.2 shots per game with 4.5 on target and 4.5 corners, committing 12 fouls to Saint Etienne's 10. The visitors have yet to keep a clean sheet in their 4-match sample this season, conceding in all competitive and friendly outings, which hands Saint Etienne a clear route to goal if they can match the sharpness shown at Sochaux. Rodez's ability to score in every outing, however, makes a home clean sheet less than certain, and the head to head data supports a contest decided by narrow margins rather than a procession for the league leaders at this embryonic stage of the campaign.
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