

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Sao Paulo mixed, Fluminense mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Sao Paulo take a form score of 4.2 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 5.4 for Fluminense. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 competitive matches, while Fluminense have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Sao Paulo average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Fluminense 1.7 and 1.1. Sao Paulo have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Fluminense in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Sao Paulo have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6. Sao Paulo sit 10th on 44 points, Fluminense 4th on 57.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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