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    World Cup · kickoff 23:00
    FT 1-1
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    4th in the table
    WDDLD
    final
    1 - 1
    Uruguay
    Uruguay
    3rd in the table
    DDDDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Away Win@ 1.43
    7/10
    Uruguay's quality edge is clear - strong qualifying campaign, cohesive squad with Premier League and La Liga regulars. Saudi Arabia's 2022 upset of Argentina was historic but not sustainable pattern; they lack tournament consistency.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.30
    8/10
    Predicted 0-2 equals 2 goals, well under 3.5. Only 3 of 32 MD1 matches in last two WCs exceeded 3.5. Uruguay will manage the game after establishing control.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.65
    7/10
    Saudi Arabia struggled in Asian qualifying despite home advantage. Uruguay's defensive discipline and Saudi's MD1 nerves against elite opposition make clean sheet likely.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 0 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Saudi Arabia

    Form comparison

    Uruguay

    2.9
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.2
    Form score: Saudi Arabia 2.9, Uruguay 2.2
    0.60
    Goals scoredper game
    0.80
    Goals scored: Saudi Arabia 0.60, Uruguay 0.80
    1.40
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Saudi Arabia 1.40, Uruguay 1.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5Saudi Arabia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Uruguay1/5
    3/5Saudi Arabia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Uruguay2/5
    0.6Saudi Arabia
    Goals For per game
    Uruguay0.8
    1.4Saudi Arabia
    Goals Against per game
    Uruguay1.1
    0Saudi Arabia
    Win Streakmatches
    Uruguay0
    Season averages • Saudi Arabia: 10 matches • Uruguay: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    Poor2.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WDDLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Uruguay
    Uruguay
    Poor2.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DDDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 1L from Saudi Arabia's perspective
    • 15 Jun 2026Saudi Arabia1-1Uruguay
    • 20 Jun 2018Uruguay1-0Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsCape Verde Islands0-0D
    • 21 Jun 2026vsSpain4-0L
    • 15 Jun 2026vsUruguay1-1D
    • 09 Jun 2026vsSenegal0-0D
    • 05 Jun 2026vsPuerto Rico0-3W
    Uruguay
    Uruguay
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsSpain0-1L
    • 21 Jun 2026vsCape Verde Islands2-2D
    • 15 Jun 2026vsSaudi Arabia1-1D
    • 31 Mar 2026vsAlgeria0-0D
    • 27 Mar 2026vsEngland1-1D
    PosTeamPts
    1Spain7
    2Cape Verde Islands3
    3Uruguay2
    4Saudi Arabia2
    Updated daily

    Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay: form and season numbers

    Saudi Arabia take a form score of 2.9 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.2 for Uruguay. Saudi Arabia have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Uruguay have 4 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Saudi Arabia average 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, Uruguay 0.8 and 1.1. Saudi Arabia have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Uruguay in 40%. In their last 2 meetings Saudi Arabia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1. Saudi Arabia sit 4th on 2 points, Uruguay 3rd on 2.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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